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Serie A

Referee: Gianluca Rocchi

Lazio

T T T U S

4–1

Full-time

Milan

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,2

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%

12 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 8

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lazio 7. · Milan 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Inter	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Sampdoria	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Torino	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Spal	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Fiorentina	3	1	0	2	+1	3
11	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Roma	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Atalanta	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Chievo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Sassuolo	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Verona	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Benevento	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Torino	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Crotone	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Roma	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Verona	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+2	3
3	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Chievo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Spal	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.