Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Verona
Fiorentina
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–3
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 4 |
Milan
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 5 |
Sampdoria
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 6 |
Torino
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 7 |
Lazio
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |
Spal
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 |
Roma
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Chievo
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 |
Verona
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 |
Sassuolo
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 |
Crotone
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 |
Udinese
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 |
Benevento
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 |
Atalanta
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 |
Cagliari
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 20 |
Fiorentina
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Ferrari
D
Coach: F. Pecchia
M. Sportiello
G
C. Biraghi
D
G. Simeone
F
Coach: S. Pioli
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Crotone
Verona
Verona
Napoli
Palermo
Verona
Verona
Juventus
Sassuolo
Verona
Antonio Damato · 48 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.