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Serie A

Referee: Michael Fabbri

Fiorentina

T U U S T

1–0

Full-time

Chievo

T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Chievo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

13 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 16. · Chievo 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Chievo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Milan	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Pescara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Palermo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Inter	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Chievo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Pescara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Milan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Inter	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.