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Eliteserien
Referee: D Higraff
Stabaek
S T T U T
0–1
Full-time
Stromsgodset
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
73%
27%
Both score Ø 55%
64%
45%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%
18 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Stabaek 9. · Stromsgodset 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 13 10 2 1 +21 32
2 Tromso 12 8 2 2 +6 26
3 Brann 13 7 3 3 +10 24
4 Viking 12 7 2 3 +7 23
5 Sarpsborg 08 12 6 3 3 +9 21
6 Molde 13 6 2 5 +9 20
7 Lillestrom 11 5 2 4 +1 17
8 Odd 13 4 4 5 -3 16
9 Stabaek 11 4 3 4 -4 15
10 Haugesund 12 4 3 5 -5 15
11 Stromsgodset 11 4 2 5 -1 14
12 Rosenborg 13 3 4 6 -5 13
13 Valerenga 11 3 1 7 -4 10
14 Sandefjord 11 2 3 6 -8 9
15 Aalesund 12 2 1 9 -15 7
16 Ham-Kam 12 2 1 9 -18 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Stromsgodset
18′
A. Leifsson 0–1
M. Mehnert
31′
🟨 Jonatan Braut Brunes
Jonatan Lucca 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–1
N. Jenssen 🔁
↦ K. Pedersen
66′
N. Walstad 🔁
↦ S. Ottesen
66′
72′
🔁 K. Krasniqi
↦ E. Danso
76′
🟨 Kreshnik Krasniqi
84′
🟨 Kreshnik Krasniqi
84′
🟥 Kreshnik Krasniqi
S. Wangberg 🔁
↦ K. Kostadinov
85′
90′
🔁 O. Enersen
↦ J. Braut Brunes
90′
🔁 J. Therkelsen
↦ M. Mehnert
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Stabaek

3-4-3
21 I. Pettersson G
2 K. Pedersen D
3 N. Næss D
6 A. Skovgaard D
15 S. Ottesen M
47 Jonatan Lucca M
7 F. Haugen M
33 T. Pachonik M
24 K. Kostadinov F
9 M. Bakenga F
14 F. Krogstad F
Bench (7)
5 N. Jenssen
11 N. Walstad
4 S. Wangberg
1 M. Ulla
40 S. Olderheim
8 C. Edwards
10 H. Geelmuyden

Coach: L. Bohinen

Stromsgodset

3-4-2-1
1 V. Myhra G
2 A. Leifsson D
71 G. Valsvik D
27 F. Dahl D
26 L. Vilsvik M
10 H. Stengel M
20 E. Danso M
7 H. Stenevik M
77 M. Mehnert F
17 T. Gulliksen F
9 J. Braut Brunes F
Bench (9)
8 K. Krasniqi
14 O. Enersen
22 J. Therkelsen
4 T. Grøgaard
21 M. Farji
15 A. Heredia-Randen
40 M. Sætra
19 A. Thorsen
3 S. Hanssen

Coach: J. Isnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Higraff · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.