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Eliteserien
Referee: J Tennøy
Tromso
S U S S S
2–1
Full-time
Stabaek
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
2,8
1,8
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
70%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Tromso 4. · Stabaek 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 11 10 1 0 +23 31
2 Brann 12 6 3 3 +9 21
3 Viking 11 6 2 3 +6 20
4 Tromso 10 6 2 2 +4 20
5 Lillestrom 10 5 2 3 +2 17
6 Molde 11 5 1 5 +8 16
7 Sarpsborg 08 10 4 3 3 +1 15
8 Stabaek 10 4 3 3 -3 15
9 Rosenborg 11 3 4 4 -1 13
10 Odd 11 3 4 4 -3 13
11 Haugesund 10 3 3 4 -5 12
12 Stromsgodset 10 3 2 5 -3 11
13 Valerenga 10 3 1 6 -3 10
14 Sandefjord 10 2 3 5 -3 9
15 Ham-Kam 10 2 1 7 -16 7
16 Aalesund 11 1 1 9 -16 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Stabaek
7′
K. Høgh 0–1
1–1 Y. Paintsil
R. Jenssen
15′
29′
🟨 Simen Wangberg
Casper Öyvann ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
33′
2–1 V. Erlien
35′
J. Romsaas 🔁
↦ K. Antonsen
40′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 N. Walstad
↦ A. Andresen
66′
🔁 H. Geelmuyden
↦ M. Bakenga
66′
🔁 S. Ottesen
↦ T. Pachonik
M. Traoré 🔁
↦ Y. Paintsil
71′
71′
🔁 N. Jenssen
↦ S. Wangberg
A. Jenssen 🔁
↦ C. Øyvann
72′
82′
🔁 K. Kostadinov
↦ F. Haugen
86′
🟥 Kasper Høgh
T. Hafstad 🔁
↦ J. Romsaas
92′
M. Koskela 🔁
↦ C. Psyché
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Tromso

5-4-1
12 S. Thomas G
24 D. Bassi D
20 C. Øyvann D
28 C. Psyché D
4 J. Gundersen D
19 N. Vesterlund D
17 Y. Paintsil M
22 S. Opsahl M
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen M
15 V. Erlien F
Bench (9)
10 J. Romsaas
29 M. Traoré
5 A. Jenssen
21 T. Hafstad
16 M. Koskela
32 M. Tollefsen
26 E. Diouf
3 J. Robertsen
27 J. Hjertø-Dahl

Coach: G. Helstrup

Stabaek

3-5-2
21 I. Pettersson G
4 S. Wangberg D
3 N. Næss D
6 A. Skovgaard D
33 T. Pachonik M
8 C. Edwards M
7 F. Haugen M
14 F. Krogstad M
20 A. Andresen M
69 K. Høgh F
9 M. Bakenga F
Bench (7)
11 N. Walstad
10 H. Geelmuyden
15 S. Ottesen
5 N. Jenssen
24 K. Kostadinov
1 M. Ulla
47 Jonatan Lucca

Coach: L. Bohinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Tennøy · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
1,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.