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Eliteserien
Referee: S Amland
Molde
S S S S T
1–0
Full-time
Haugesund
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Haugesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
3,3
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 38%
45%
30%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
73%
60%
Both score Ø 53%
55%
50%
Average goals
3,6
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
17 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Molde 6. · Haugesund 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 11 10 1 0 +23 31
2 Brann 12 6 3 3 +9 21
3 Viking 11 6 2 3 +6 20
4 Tromso 10 6 2 2 +4 20
5 Lillestrom 10 5 2 3 +2 17
6 Molde 11 5 1 5 +8 16
7 Sarpsborg 08 10 4 3 3 +1 15
8 Stabaek 10 4 3 3 -3 15
9 Rosenborg 11 3 4 4 -1 13
10 Odd 11 3 4 4 -3 13
11 Haugesund 10 3 3 4 -5 12
12 Stromsgodset 10 3 2 5 -3 11
13 Valerenga 10 3 1 6 -3 10
14 Sandefjord 10 2 3 5 -3 9
15 Ham-Kam 10 2 1 7 -16 7
16 Aalesund 11 1 1 9 -16 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Haugesund
1–0 O. Brynhildsen
E. Kitolano
39′
44′
🟨 Bruno Leite
Half-time 1–0
Anders Hagelskjær 🟨
57′
B. Risa 🔁
↦ A. Hagelskjær
65′
N. Ødegård 🔁
↦ E. Kitolano
71′
79′
🔁 A. Pajaziti
↦ M. Christensen
79′
🔁 J. Eskesen
↦ Bruno Leite
85′
🟨 Julius Eskesen
Ola Brynhildsen 🟨
86′
86′
🔁 M. Samuelsen
↦ M. Sande
86′
🔁 C. Niyukuri
↦ A. Bærtelsen
E. Haugan 🔁
↦ E. Breivik
91′
E. Knudtzon 🔁
↦ O. Brynhildsen
91′
Martin Bjornbak 🟨
92′
92′
🟥 Sory Diarra
Jakob Karlstrom 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Molde

3-5-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
4 B. Hansen D
2 M. Bjørnbak D
25 A. Hagelskjær D
21 M. Linnes M
22 M. Grødem M
16 E. Breivik M
20 K. Eriksen M
28 K. Haugen M
11 O. Brynhildsen F
10 E. Kitolano F
Bench (9)
3 B. Risa
33 N. Ødegård
19 E. Haugan
14 E. Knudtzon
50 G. Kjølstad Nyheim
12 O. Petersen
17 R. Zekhnini
31 M. Løvik
32 H. Ibrahim

Coach: E. Moe

Haugesund

5-3-2
1 E. Selvik G
7 P. Therkildsen D
4 A. Bærtelsen D
8 K. Krygård D
5 S. Reese D
3 O. Krusnell D
27 M. Sande M
6 M. Christensen M
26 Bruno Leite M
29 S. Diarra F
99 B. Njie F
Bench (8)
10 A. Pajaziti
21 J. Eskesen
14 M. Samuelsen
2 C. Niyukuri
12 A. Wichne
25 M. Hope
15 U. Fredriksen
17 O. Otusanya

Coach: J. Grindhaug

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Amland · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.