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Eliteserien
Referee: R Saggi
Brann
S S S S U
2–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
5,0
3,0
Scored
4,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 58%
60%
56%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
70%
67%
Both score Ø 64%
60%
67%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
2,1
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
18 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 6
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brann 2. · Lillestrom 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 11 10 1 0 +23 31
2 Brann 10 6 2 2 +11 20
3 Tromso 10 6 2 2 +4 20
4 Viking 10 5 2 3 +4 17
5 Molde 11 5 1 5 +8 16
6 Lillestrom 9 5 1 3 +2 16
7 Sarpsborg 08 10 4 3 3 +1 15
8 Stabaek 10 4 3 3 -3 15
9 Rosenborg 11 3 4 4 -1 13
10 Odd 11 3 4 4 -3 13
11 Haugesund 10 3 3 4 -5 12
12 Stromsgodset 10 3 2 5 -3 11
13 Valerenga 10 3 1 6 -3 10
14 Sandefjord 10 2 3 5 -3 9
15 Ham-Kam 10 2 1 7 -16 7
16 Aalesund 11 1 1 9 -16 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Lillestrom
24′
E. Edh 0–1
P. Slørdahl
36′
🟨 Espen Bjornsen Garnas
Half-time 0–1
55′
🟨 Eskil Smidesang Edh
1–1 S. Heltne Nilsen
57′
2–1 N. Castro
O. Didrik Blomberg
60′
F. Børsting 🔁
↦ N. Castro
62′
S. Crone 🔁
↦ J. Sery Larsen
63′
63′
🔁 K. Tønnessen
↦ E. Garnås
63′
🔁 V. Skjærvik
↦ P. Slørdahl
Frederik Børsting 🟨
70′
73′
K. Tønnessen 2–2
Y. Ibrahimaj
U. Mathisen 🔁
↦ T. Pedersen
82′
82′
🔁 H. Skogvold
↦ Y. Ibrahimaj
82′
🔁 U. Charles
↦ G. Åsen
Felix Horn Myhre 🟨
84′
90′
🟨 Henrik Skogvold
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
23 T. Pedersen D
3 F. Knudsen D
6 J. Sery Larsen D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
7 M. Rasmussen M
19 S. Heltne Nilsen M
8 F. Myhre M
16 O. Didrik Blomberg F
11 B. Finne F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (8)
10 F. Børsting
13 S. Crone
14 U. Mathisen
12 E. Holmen Johansen
35 J. Torsvik
41 E. Myrlid
31 I. Hjorteseth
33 M. Trengereid

Coach: E. Horneland

Lillestrom

3-4-3
12 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
22 P. Slørdahl D
28 R. Gabrielsen D
4 E. Garnås D
25 E. Edh M
6 V. Hoff M
14 M. Knudsen M
5 V. Dragsnes M
7 Y. Ibrahimaj F
9 A. Adams F
23 G. Åsen F
Bench (7)
19 K. Tønnessen
20 V. Skjærvik
33 H. Skogvold
16 U. Charles
8 M. Lundemo
37 L. Neto
1 K. Skjærstein

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.