Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Zwolle
VVV Venlo
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajax
|
32 | 26 | 2 | 4 | +81 | 80 |
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
32 | 25 | 5 | 2 | +71 | 80 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord
|
32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | +33 | 62 |
| 4 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | +22 | 55 |
| 5 |
Heracles
|
30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | +2 | 48 |
| 6 |
Willem II
|
32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 44 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +5 | 43 |
| 8 |
Vitesse
|
28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | +8 | 40 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 |
Den Haag
|
32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -11 | 39 |
| 11 |
Heerenveen
|
32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -8 | 38 |
| 12 |
Zwolle
|
32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 |
VVV Venlo
|
32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -16 | 38 |
| 14 |
For Sittard
|
32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | -24 | 34 |
| 15 |
FC Emmen
|
32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | -33 | 32 |
| 16 |
De Graafschap
|
32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | -29 | 29 |
| 17 |
Excelsior
|
32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -36 | 27 |
| 18 |
NAC Breda
|
32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -44 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
P. Clement
M
G. Hamer
M
V. van Crooij
F
Coach: J. Stam
L. Unnerstall
G
J. Grot
F
Coach: M. Steijn
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Zwolle
Groningen
Vitesse
Zwolle
Willem II
Zwolle
Zwolle
For Sittard
PSV Eindhoven
Zwolle
Sander van der Eijk · 25 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.