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Eredivisie
Referee: Sander van der Eijk
Zwolle
T S T T S
2–4
Full-time
VVV Venlo
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 33%
34%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
53%
56%
Both score Ø 49%
41%
56%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
11 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 12. · VVV Venlo 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 32 26 2 4 +81 80
2 PSV Eindhoven 32 25 5 2 +71 80
3 Feyenoord 32 19 5 8 +33 62
4 AZ Alkmaar 32 16 7 9 +22 55
5 Heracles 30 15 3 12 +2 48
6 Willem II 32 13 5 14 -9 44
7 Utrecht 28 12 7 9 +5 43
8 Vitesse 28 10 10 8 +8 40
9 Groningen 30 11 6 13 -1 39
10 Den Haag 32 10 9 13 -11 39
11 Heerenveen 32 9 11 12 -8 38
12 Zwolle 32 11 5 16 -11 38
13 VVV Venlo 32 10 8 14 -16 38
14 For Sittard 32 9 7 16 -24 34
15 FC Emmen 32 8 8 16 -33 32
16 De Graafschap 32 8 5 19 -29 29
17 Excelsior 32 7 6 19 -36 27
18 NAC Breda 32 5 7 20 -44 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle VVV Venlo
1–0 L. Thy
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Dekker
↦ M. Rutten
54′
P. Mlapa 1–1
T. Sušić
57′
P. Mlapa 1–2
P. Joosten
65′
P. van Ooijen 1–3
J. Grot
S. Elbers 🔁
↦ P. Clement
68′
74′
P. Mlapa 1–4
J. Grot
O. Bouy 🔁
↦ D. Lachman
75′
83′
🔁 D. van Bruggen
↦ C. Kum
85′
🟨 Lars Unnerstall
2–4 S. Elbers
85′
92′
🔁 A. Borgmann
↦ P. Mlapa
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 D. Boer G
29 D. Lachman D
5 K. Paal D
4 Y. Nakayama D
33 S. van den Berg D
21 Y. Namli M
22 P. Clement M
6 G. Hamer M
10 L. Thy F
9 M. van Duinen F
7 V. van Crooij F
Bench (8)
25 S. Elbers
34 O. Bouy
17 D. Genreau
16 M. van der Hart
18 D. Koppers
8 C. Leemans
23 D. Bouzanis
19 R. Dekker

Coach: J. Stam

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
14 C. Kum D
4 R. Janssen D
13 N. Röseler D
2 M. Rutten D
6 D. Post M
31 T. Sušić M
8 P. van Ooijen M
26 P. Mlapa F
19 P. Joosten F
11 J. Grot F
Bench (10)
17 T. Dekker
20 D. van Bruggen
21 A. Borgmann
16 D. van Crooij
29 E. Linthorst
25 E. Korkmaz
15 Josimar Lima
22 B. Verbong
35 S. Steijn
10 J. Opoku

Coach: M. Steijn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sander van der Eijk · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.