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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

VVV Venlo

T U T T U

4–1

Full-time

De Graafschap

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo De Graafschap

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 27%

30%

23%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

53%

63%

Both score Ø 48%

53%

43%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%

14 Shots 14

9 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match VVV Venlo 13. · De Graafschap 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	31	25	2	4	+79	77
2	PSV Eindhoven	30	23	5	2	+66	74
3	Feyenoord	30	17	5	8	+28	56
4	AZ Alkmaar	30	15	7	8	+22	52
5	Heracles	29	15	3	11	+3	48
6	Willem II	30	13	4	13	-6	43
7	Vitesse	27	10	10	7	+10	40
8	Utrecht	27	11	7	9	+4	40
9	Groningen	29	11	6	12	+0	39
10	Heerenveen	31	9	10	12	-8	37
11	Den Haag	30	9	9	12	-11	36
12	Zwolle	31	10	5	16	-12	35
13	VVV Venlo	30	9	7	14	-19	34
14	FC Emmen	31	8	8	15	-32	32
15	For Sittard	30	8	7	15	-24	31
16	De Graafschap	30	7	5	18	-27	26
17	Excelsior	30	7	5	18	-34	26
18	NAC Breda	30	5	7	18	-39	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	14	1	0	+47	43
2	Ajax	15	13	2	0	+52	41
3	Feyenoord	15	13	0	2	+28	39
4	Heracles	15	11	0	4	+15	33
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	9	3	3	+18	30
6	Vitesse	14	7	6	1	+10	27
7	Groningen	15	8	1	6	+6	25
8	For Sittard	15	6	5	4	+6	23
9	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+9	22
10	VVV Venlo	15	6	3	6	-1	21
11	Willem II	15	6	2	7	-3	20
12	Den Haag	15	5	4	6	-5	19
13	Zwolle	15	5	3	7	+1	18
14	De Graafschap	15	5	3	7	-1	18
15	Excelsior	15	5	3	7	-11	18
16	NAC Breda	15	4	5	6	-8	17
17	FC Emmen	16	4	5	7	-9	17
18	Heerenveen	15	3	6	6	-9	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	12	0	4	+27	36
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	9	4	2	+19	31
3	Willem II	15	7	2	6	-3	23
4	AZ Alkmaar	15	6	4	5	+4	22
5	Heerenveen	16	6	4	6	+1	22
6	Utrecht	14	5	3	6	-5	18
7	Feyenoord	15	4	5	6	+0	17
8	Den Haag	15	4	5	6	-6	17
9	Zwolle	16	5	2	9	-13	17
10	Heracles	14	4	3	7	-12	15
11	FC Emmen	15	4	3	8	-23	15
12	Groningen	14	3	5	6	-6	14
13	Vitesse	13	3	4	6	+0	13
14	VVV Venlo	15	3	4	8	-18	13
15	Excelsior	15	2	2	11	-23	8
16	De Graafschap	15	2	2	11	-26	8
17	For Sittard	15	2	2	11	-30	8
18	NAC Breda	15	1	2	12	-31	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.