La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Girona
Levante
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
36 | 25 | 8 | 3 | +52 | 83 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | +26 | 74 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
36 | 21 | 5 | 10 | +21 | 68 |
| 4 |
Getafe
|
36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | +15 | 58 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | +13 | 55 |
| 6 |
Valencia
|
36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | +12 | 55 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | -4 | 50 |
| 8 |
Sociedad
|
36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | -1 | 47 |
| 9 |
Espanol
|
36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | -6 | 47 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | -10 | 47 |
| 11 |
Eibar
|
36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | -3 | 46 |
| 12 |
Leganes
|
36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | -3 | 45 |
| 13 |
Betis
|
36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | -11 | 44 |
| 14 |
Villarreal
|
36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | -4 | 40 |
| 15 |
Celta
|
36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 |
Levante
|
36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | -8 | 40 |
| 17 |
Valladolid
|
36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -18 | 38 |
| 18 |
Girona
|
36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | -14 | 37 |
| 19 |
Vallecano
|
36 | 8 | 7 | 21 | -28 | 31 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -22 | 30 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Portu
M
Pere Pons
M
Douglas Luiz
M
Valery
D
C. Stuani
F
Coach: Eusebio Sacristán
Aitor Fernández
G
E. Bardhi
M
Borja Mayoral
F
Coach: Paco López
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Getafe
Girona
Girona
Sevilla
Valladolid
Girona
Celta
Girona
Girona
Villarreal
Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.