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Eliteserien
Referee: S Moen
Stabaek
T S S T T
2–2
Full-time
Rosenborg
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 37%
44%
30%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
67%
40%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

26% Possession 74%
6 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 8. · Rosenborg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 10 9 1 0 +20 28
2 Brann 10 6 2 2 +11 20
3 Tromso 9 5 2 2 +3 17
4 Molde 10 5 1 4 +9 16
5 Lillestrom 9 5 1 3 +2 16
6 Sarpsborg 08 9 4 3 2 +3 15
7 Viking 9 4 2 3 +2 14
8 Stabaek 9 4 2 3 -3 14
9 Rosenborg 10 3 3 4 -1 12
10 Valerenga 9 3 1 5 -2 10
11 Odd 10 2 4 4 -4 10
12 Sandefjord 9 2 3 4 -2 9
13 Haugesund 9 2 3 4 -6 9
14 Stromsgodset 9 2 2 5 -4 8
15 Ham-Kam 9 2 1 6 -13 7
16 Aalesund 10 1 1 8 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Rosenborg
1–0 K. Kostadinov
S. Ottesen
8′
2–0 M. Bakenga
K. Høgh
10′
29′
J. Nelson 2–1
O. Aga
Curtis Edwards 🟨
39′
Half-time 2–1
47′
ℹ️ Edvard Sandvik Tagseth
VAR: Goal cancelled
S. Wangberg 🔁
↦ N. Jenssen
58′
Kasper Høgh ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
59′
64′
🔁 S. Nypan
↦ O. Aga
74′
🔁 L. Cornic
↦ S. Rogers
Jonatan Lucca 🟨
76′
A. Andresen 🔁
↦ M. Bakenga
82′
N. Walstad 🔁
↦ S. Ottesen
82′
86′
🔁 A. Sadiku
↦ J. Nelson
86′
🔁 A. Pereira
↦ E. Tagseth
89′
C. Holse 2–2
E. Reitan
94′
🟨 Ulrik Jenssen
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Stabaek

3-5-2
21 I. Pettersson G
5 N. Jenssen D
3 N. Næss D
6 A. Skovgaard D
15 S. Ottesen M
8 C. Edwards M
47 Jonatan Lucca M
24 K. Kostadinov M
33 T. Pachonik M
9 M. Bakenga F
69 K. Høgh F
Bench (7)
4 S. Wangberg
20 A. Andresen
11 N. Walstad
1 M. Ulla
38 W. Wendt
10 H. Geelmuyden
7 F. Haugen

Coach: L. Bohinen

Rosenborg

3-4-2-1
1 A. Hansen G
15 S. Rogers D
7 M. Henriksen D
23 U. Yttergård Jenssen D
2 E. Reitan M
18 M. Bjørlo M
21 O. Skarsem M
20 E. Tagseth M
10 C. Holse F
11 J. Nelson F
29 O. Aga F
Bench (8)
41 S. Nypan
32 L. Cornic
22 A. Sadiku
19 A. Pereira
24 S. Tangvik
5 P. Skjelbred
44 M. Holte
6 S. Väänänen

Coach: K. Rekdal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Moen · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.