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Allsvenskan
Referee: M Al Hakim
Hammarby
T U S U U
0–2
Full-time
Varnamo
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Varnamo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Allsvenskan · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 32%
30%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 47%
60%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hammarby 10. · Varnamo 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elfsborg 10 8 1 1 +17 25
2 Malmo FF 10 8 1 1 +14 25
3 Hacken 10 6 1 3 +13 19
4 Djurgarden 11 6 1 4 +2 19
5 Norrkoping 10 5 2 3 +5 17
6 Kalmar 10 5 2 3 +3 17
7 Brommapojkarna 10 5 1 4 -1 16
8 Halmstad 10 5 0 5 -5 15
9 Mjallby 10 3 3 4 -1 12
10 Hammarby 10 3 3 4 -3 12
11 Degerfors 10 3 1 6 -14 10
12 Varnamo 9 3 0 6 -4 9
13 Sirius 10 1 5 4 -7 8
14 Goteborg 9 1 4 4 +1 7
15 AIK 10 1 3 6 -7 6
16 Varberg 9 0 4 5 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby Varnamo
Half-time 0–0
Simon Strand 🟨
50′
53′
G. Engvall 0–1
O. Johansson
J. Erabi 🔁
↦ A. Mikkelsen
56′
L. Sadiku 🔁
↦ A. Demirol
56′
62′
🟨 Hampus Nasstrom
63′
🔁 V. Bergh
↦ A. Ademi
J. Nilsson 🔁
↦ S. Strand
67′
75′
🔁 F. Winsth
↦ H. Näsström
75′
🔁 Netinho
↦ A. Zeljkovic
79′
A. Lohikangas 0–2
G. Engvall
A. Saidi 🔁
↦ T. Tekie
84′
S. Alioum 🔁
↦ M. Madjed
84′
92′
🔁 J. Dickman
↦ O. Johansson
92′
🔁 M. Bustos
↦ G. Engvall
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Hammarby

4-2-3-1
1 O. Dovin G
36 M. Karlsson D
4 E. Kurtulus D
30 S. Pinas D
21 S. Strand D
5 T. Tekie M
34 A. Demirol M
38 M. Madjed M
20 N. Besara M
17 A. Mikkelsen M
9 A. Nalić F
Bench (9)
19 J. Erabi
18 L. Sadiku
22 J. Nilsson
40 A. Saidi
31 S. Alioum
15 P. Vagić
3 A. Kralj
25 D. Blažević
35 L. Svanberg

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Varnamo

4-3-3
1 J. Rasheed G
5 V. Larsson D
25 V. Eriksson D
24 E. Grozdanic D
16 A. Lohikangas D
18 Wenderson M
6 H. Näsström M
8 A. Ademi M
9 O. Johansson F
14 G. Engvall F
10 A. Zeljkovic F
Bench (9)
3 V. Bergh
20 F. Winsth
4 Netinho
17 J. Dickman
19 M. Bustos
28 F. Adjei
30 P. Vaitsiakhovich
11 E. Bećirović
32 K. Bilalovic

Coach: K. Hellberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.