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Allsvenskan

Referee: V Wolf

Degerfors

T T T S U

1–1

Full-time

Varberg

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

3,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-2,2

This season — Allsvenskan · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 15%

30%

Points per game

1,0

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

80%

56%

Both score Ø 63%

70%

56%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

2,6

2,1

Goal diff per game

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

21 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Degerfors 11. · Varberg 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elfsborg	10	8	1	1	+17	25
2	Malmo FF	10	8	1	1	+14	25
3	Hacken	10	6	1	3	+13	19
4	Djurgarden	11	6	1	4	+2	19
5	Norrkoping	10	5	2	3	+5	17
6	Kalmar	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	Brommapojkarna	10	5	1	4	-1	16
8	Halmstad	10	5	0	5	-5	15
9	Mjallby	10	3	3	4	-1	12
10	Hammarby	10	3	3	4	-3	12
11	Degerfors	10	3	1	6	-14	10
12	Varnamo	9	3	0	6	-4	9
13	Sirius	10	1	5	4	-7	8
14	Goteborg	9	1	4	4	+1	7
15	AIK	10	1	3	6	-7	6
16	Varberg	9	0	4	5	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	6	6	0	0	+9	18
2	Malmo FF	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Elfsborg	5	4	0	1	+13	12
4	Hacken	5	4	0	1	+10	12
5	Hammarby	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Kalmar	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Degerfors	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Halmstad	5	3	0	2	+1	9
9	Mjallby	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Norrkoping	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Brommapojkarna	5	2	1	2	+1	7
12	Varnamo	5	2	0	3	+0	6
13	Goteborg	5	1	2	2	+4	5
14	AIK	4	1	2	1	-1	5
15	Varberg	5	0	3	2	-8	3
16	Sirius	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elfsborg	5	4	1	0	+4	13
2	Malmo FF	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	Norrkoping	6	3	1	2	+3	10
4	Brommapojkarna	5	3	0	2	-2	9
5	Hacken	5	2	1	2	+3	7
6	Kalmar	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Sirius	6	1	4	1	-2	7
8	Halmstad	5	2	0	3	-6	6
9	Mjallby	4	1	1	2	-3	4
10	Varnamo	4	1	0	3	-4	3
11	Goteborg	4	0	2	2	-3	2
12	Hammarby	6	0	2	4	-8	2
13	Varberg	4	0	1	3	-5	1
14	AIK	6	0	1	5	-6	1
15	Djurgarden	5	0	1	4	-7	1
16	Degerfors	4	0	0	4	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.