La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Girona
La Coruna
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 | +57 | 69 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | +33 | 61 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | +36 | 54 |
| 4 |
Valencia
|
27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | +22 | 53 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | -4 | 45 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | +4 | 41 |
| 7 |
Girona
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 40 |
| 8 |
Eibar
|
27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | -5 | 39 |
| 9 |
Celta
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +6 | 38 |
| 10 |
Betis
|
27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | -9 | 37 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +8 | 36 |
| 12 |
Sociedad
|
27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | +1 | 33 |
| 13 |
Leganes
|
27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 33 |
| 14 |
Ath Bilbao
|
27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | -4 | 32 |
| 15 |
Espanol
|
27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |
Alaves
|
27 | 10 | 1 | 16 | -15 | 31 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
27 | 3 | 12 | 12 | -20 | 21 |
| 18 |
Las Palmas
|
27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | -35 | 20 |
| 19 |
La Coruna
|
27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | -32 | 19 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
27 | 3 | 4 | 20 | -27 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Mojica
M
Pablo Maffeo
M
Portu
F
Pere Pons
M
C. Stuani
F
Coach: Pablo Machín
Coach: C. Seedorf
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Villarreal
Girona
Girona
Celta
Barcelona
Girona
Girona
Leganes
Sevilla
Girona
Alberto Undiano · 79 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.