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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Oliveira

Sp Braga

T S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Moreirense

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Moreirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,7

Scored

3,0

0,8

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 46%

72%

20%

Points per game

2,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

68%

44%

Both score Ø 46%

48%

44%

Average goals

3,1

2,2

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 15

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 4. · Moreirense 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	25	21	4	0	+55	67
2	Benfica	25	19	5	1	+51	62
3	Sp Lisbon	25	18	5	2	+33	59
4	Sp Braga	25	18	1	6	+32	55
5	Rio Ave	25	11	4	10	-1	37
6	Chaves	25	10	6	9	-6	36
7	Boavista	25	10	3	12	-8	33
8	Maritimo	25	9	6	10	-14	33
9	Guimaraes	25	9	3	13	-14	30
10	Tondela	25	8	4	13	-8	28
11	Belenenses	25	7	7	11	-12	28
12	Portimonense	25	7	6	12	-8	27
13	Aves	25	6	7	12	-8	25
14	Vitoria Setubal	25	5	9	11	-17	24
15	Feirense	25	7	2	16	-11	23
16	Moreirense	25	5	7	13	-15	22
17	Pacos Ferreira	25	5	6	14	-20	21
18	Estoril	25	6	3	16	-29	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	13	12	1	0	+33	37
2	Sp Lisbon	13	11	2	0	+23	35
3	Benfica	12	11	1	0	+35	34
4	Sp Braga	13	11	0	2	+21	33
5	Boavista	12	8	0	4	+4	24
6	Maritimo	12	7	3	2	+4	24
7	Rio Ave	12	7	2	3	+9	23
8	Vitoria Setubal	13	5	5	3	+2	20
9	Guimaraes	12	6	2	4	-6	20
10	Belenenses	12	5	4	3	+2	19
11	Portimonense	12	5	2	5	+1	17
12	Chaves	12	4	5	3	+1	17
13	Pacos Ferreira	12	4	4	4	-2	16
14	Feirense	13	5	1	7	-3	16
15	Tondela	13	4	2	7	-4	14
16	Estoril	13	4	1	8	-12	13
17	Aves	13	3	3	7	-5	12
18	Moreirense	13	2	6	5	-5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	12	9	3	0	+22	30
2	Benfica	13	8	4	1	+16	28
3	Sp Lisbon	12	7	3	2	+10	24
4	Sp Braga	12	7	1	4	+11	22
5	Chaves	13	6	1	6	-7	19
6	Tondela	12	4	2	6	-4	14
7	Rio Ave	13	4	2	7	-10	14
8	Aves	12	3	4	5	-3	13
9	Guimaraes	13	3	1	9	-8	10
10	Portimonense	13	2	4	7	-9	10
11	Moreirense	12	3	1	8	-10	10
12	Boavista	13	2	3	8	-12	9
13	Belenenses	13	2	3	8	-14	9
14	Maritimo	13	2	3	8	-18	9
15	Estoril	12	2	2	8	-17	8
16	Feirense	12	2	1	9	-8	7
17	Pacos Ferreira	13	1	2	10	-18	5
18	Vitoria Setubal	12	0	4	8	-19	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.