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Serie A
Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Chievo
S T T T T
1–3
Full-time
Torino
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,7
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 34%
34%
34%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
53%
69%
Both score Ø 64%
50%
78%
Average goals
2,6
3,5
Scored
1,1
1,9
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 22
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 9
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chievo 12. · Torino 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 32 26 2 4 +44 80
2 Roma 32 23 3 6 +43 72
3 Napoli 33 21 8 4 +42 71
4 Atalanta 33 19 6 8 +19 63
5 Lazio 32 18 7 7 +18 61
6 Milan 32 17 7 8 +14 58
7 Inter 33 17 5 11 +21 56
8 Fiorentina 33 15 10 8 +10 55
9 Torino 32 11 12 9 +7 45
10 Sampdoria 32 12 9 11 +1 45
11 Udinese 32 11 7 14 -2 40
12 Chievo 32 11 5 16 -14 38
13 Cagliari 32 11 5 16 -17 38
14 Sassuolo 33 10 6 17 -10 36
15 Bologna 33 9 8 16 -18 35
16 Genoa 32 7 9 16 -21 30
17 Empoli 32 6 8 18 -30 26
18 Crotone 32 5 6 21 -26 21
19 Palermo 32 3 7 22 -42 16
20 Pescara 32 2 8 22 -39 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chievo Torino
24′
🔁 D. Zappacosta
↦ L. De Silvestri
Half-time 0–1
52′
A. Ljajić 0–1
Iago Falqué
56′
D. Zappacosta 0–2
S. Gakpé 🔁
↦ V. Birsa
64′
1–2 S. Pellissier
R. Inglese
65′
S. Kiyine 🔁
↦ P. Hetemaj
70′
75′
Iago Falqué 1–3
A. Belotti
76′
🟨 Davide Zappacosta
78′
🔁 M. Valdifiori
↦ D. Baselli
Sofian Kiyine 🟨
80′
M. Izco 🔁
↦ F. Depaoli
83′
83′
🔁 A. Barreca
↦ Danilo Avelar
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Chievo

4-3-1-2
70 S. Sorrentino G
3 D. Dainelli D
2 N. Spolli D
21 N. Frey D
23 V. Birsa M
56 P. Hetemaj M
8 I. Radovanović M
19 L. Castro M
97 F. Depaoli D
31 S. Pellissier F
45 R. Inglese F
Bench (12)
7 S. Gakpé
80 S. Kiyine
13 M. Izco
1 J. de Guzmán
12 B. Cesar
15 C. Pogliano
28 S. Bastien
77 M. Troiani
90 A. Seculin
98 A. Confente
78 M. Rabbas
25 R. Oprut

Coach: R. Maran

Torino

4-2-3-1
21 J. Hart G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
13 L. Rossettini D
26 Danilo Avelar D
6 A. Acquah M
8 D. Baselli M
10 A. Ljajić M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
31 L. Boyé F
Bench (11)
7 D. Zappacosta
18 M. Valdifiori
23 A. Barreca
1 D. Padelli
4 Leandro Castán
5 Carlão
11 M. López
16 Samuel Gustafson
90 T. Cucchietti
92 M. De Luca
96 M. Rossetti

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Maurizio Mariani · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.