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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
0–1
Full-time
Den Haag
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 26%
23%
29%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
58%
55%
Both score Ø 57%
58%
55%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
11 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 16. · Den Haag 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 31 24 4 3 +60 76
2 Ajax 31 23 6 2 +51 75
3 PSV Eindhoven 31 20 9 2 +41 69
4 Utrecht 29 15 7 7 +14 52
5 Vitesse 31 14 6 11 +11 48
6 AZ Alkmaar 29 11 12 6 +7 45
7 Twente 32 12 9 11 +1 45
8 Heerenveen 30 12 6 12 +5 42
9 Heracles 32 11 7 14 -4 40
10 Willem II 32 9 9 14 -12 36
11 Groningen 30 8 11 11 +0 35
12 Excelsior 32 8 10 14 -17 34
13 Den Haag 31 9 5 17 -22 32
14 Zwolle 32 8 8 16 -26 32
15 Roda 32 6 12 14 -23 30
16 Sparta Rotterdam 31 7 7 17 -21 28
17 Nijmegen 32 7 7 18 -30 28
18 Go Ahead Eagles 32 6 5 21 -35 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Den Haag
10′
A. El Khayati 0–1
E. Duplan
Half-time 0–1
C. Goodwin 🔁
↦ Jerson Cabral
46′
M. Pogba 🔁
↦ D. Mendes da Silva
64′
Martin Pusic 🟨
69′
77′
🔁 R. Wolters
↦ S. Becker
I. Alhalft 🔁
↦ T. Verhaar
81′
82′
🔁 T. Beugelsdijk
↦ T. Meißner
88′
🔁 G. Fernandez
↦ M. Havenaar
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 R. Kortsmit G
5 M. Breuer D
8 M. Dijkstra M
2 D. Dumfries D
3 S. Floranus D
6 R. van Drongelen D
4 D. Mendes da Silva M
11 Jerson Cabral F
10 S. Spierings F
9 M. Pusic F
7 T. Verhaar F
Bench (11)
16 C. Goodwin
21 M. Pogba
18 I. Alhalft
17 B. Vriends
13 F. Pinteaux
20 M. Verrips
12 J. Saksela
30 R. Kieboom
15 R. Ketting
14 K. Dougall
19 R. Ache

Coach: A. Pastoor

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
2 D. Malone M
3 T. Meißner D
5 W. Kanon D
28 T. Ebuehi D
17 D. Bakker M
9 M. Havenaar F
21 E. Duplan F
23 A. El Khayati M
77 S. Becker F
Bench (12)
11 R. Wolters
4 T. Beugelsdijk
19 G. Fernandez
1 E. Šetkus
6 A. El Mahdioui
12 T. Trybull
14 D. Gorter
15 A. Tamata
20 R. Schaken
24 R. de Boer
27 T. David
30 J. Schouten

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.