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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
Roda
T T S T T
2–1
Full-time
Zwolle
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 22%
14%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
39%
61%
Both score Ø 43%
29%
57%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
0,7
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roda 17. · Zwolle 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 29 23 3 3 +58 72
2 Ajax 29 21 6 2 +43 69
3 PSV Eindhoven 28 19 7 2 +36 64
4 Utrecht 26 13 7 6 +12 46
5 Vitesse 29 13 6 10 +10 45
6 Twente 28 11 8 9 +2 41
7 Heerenveen 27 11 6 10 +10 39
8 AZ Alkmaar 26 9 11 6 +5 38
9 Heracles 29 9 7 13 -7 34
10 Willem II 29 8 9 12 -8 33
11 Zwolle 28 8 7 13 -20 31
12 Groningen 27 6 11 10 -4 29
13 Sparta Rotterdam 29 7 7 15 -18 28
14 Nijmegen 29 7 7 15 -22 28
15 Den Haag 29 8 4 17 -23 28
16 Excelsior 29 5 10 14 -20 25
17 Roda 28 4 11 13 -25 23
18 Go Ahead Eagles 29 6 5 18 -29 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roda Zwolle
40′
Y. Mokhtar 0–1
R. Thomas
43′
🟨 Nicolai Brock-Madsen
Half-time 0–1
M. Rosheuvel 🔁
↦ S. Raykov
46′
1–1 G. van Velzen
M. El Makrini
48′
Mohamed El Makrini 🟨
58′
68′
🔁 K. Ehizibue
↦ M. Saymak
B. Badibanga 🔁
↦ G. van Velzen
72′
D. Werker 🔁
↦ C. Kum
74′
83′
🔁 A. Achahbar
↦ Q. Menig
83′
🔁 S. Nijland
↦ R. Thomas
2–1 M. Rosheuvel
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Roda

4-2-3-1
1 B. van Leer G
3 C. Kum D
5 A. van Peppen D
2 M. Milec D
27 F. Ananou D
30 M. El Makrini M
7 T. Van Hyfte M
14 A. Ajagun M
9 D. Schahin F
21 S. Raykov M
15 G. van Velzen F
Bench (10)
17 M. Rosheuvel
11 B. Badibanga
20 D. Werker
8 A. Auassar
19 M. Paulissen
22 Y. De Winter
24 S. Savić
31 D. Stassar
35 T. Roex
44 B. Verboom

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
21 D. Warmerdam D
23 D. Holla M
15 O. Bouy D
6 M. Saymak M
44 N. Brock-Madsen F
7 Y. Mokhtar F
30 R. Thomas M
11 Q. Menig M
Bench (9)
20 K. Ehizibue
9 A. Achahbar
10 S. Nijland
3 T. van de Pavert
5 C. Verdonk
13 P. Sandler
16 K. Begois
22 B. Schenkeveld
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.