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La Liga

Referee: Inaki Vicandi Garrido

Espanol

U S T S S

0–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,5

This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 50%

41%

59%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

47%

44%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

34%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,8

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Espanol 9. · Ath Madrid 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	31	23	6	2	+49	75
2	Barcelona	32	22	6	4	+61	72
3	Ath Madrid	32	19	8	5	+35	65
4	Sevilla	33	19	8	6	+19	65
5	Villarreal	33	16	9	8	+21	57
6	Ath Bilbao	32	16	5	11	+8	53
7	Sociedad	32	16	4	12	+3	52
8	Eibar	32	14	8	10	+8	50
9	Espanol	32	13	10	9	+2	49
10	Celta	31	13	5	13	-3	44
11	Alaves	32	11	10	11	-8	43
12	Valencia	33	11	7	15	-9	40
13	Las Palmas	32	10	8	14	-6	38
14	Malaga	33	9	9	15	-11	36
15	Betis	32	9	7	16	-16	34
16	La Coruna	32	7	10	15	-15	31
17	Leganes	33	6	9	18	-24	27
18	Sp Gijon	33	5	8	20	-30	23
19	Granada	33	4	8	21	-43	20
20	Osasuna	33	3	9	21	-41	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	12	4	0	+25	40
2	Barcelona	16	12	3	1	+36	39
3	Ath Bilbao	17	12	3	2	+17	39
4	Sevilla	16	12	3	1	+17	39
5	Ath Madrid	16	12	2	2	+24	38
6	Villarreal	17	10	3	4	+15	33
7	Las Palmas	16	9	5	2	+16	32
8	Eibar	16	9	3	4	+8	30
9	Espanol	16	8	5	3	+9	29
10	Celta	15	9	1	5	+5	28
11	Sociedad	16	8	4	4	+4	28
12	Malaga	16	8	2	6	+4	26
13	Valencia	16	7	4	5	+0	25
14	Betis	17	6	6	5	+1	24
15	La Coruna	16	6	5	5	+6	23
16	Alaves	16	5	7	4	-5	22
17	Granada	16	4	4	8	-8	16
18	Leganes	16	3	5	8	-8	14
19	Sp Gijon	16	4	2	10	-13	14
20	Osasuna	17	1	6	10	-17	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	11	2	2	+24	35
2	Barcelona	16	10	3	3	+25	33
3	Ath Madrid	16	7	6	3	+11	27
4	Sevilla	17	7	5	5	+2	26
5	Villarreal	16	6	6	4	+6	24
6	Sociedad	16	8	0	8	-1	24
7	Alaves	16	6	3	7	-3	21
8	Eibar	16	5	5	6	+0	20
9	Espanol	16	5	5	6	-7	20
10	Celta	16	4	4	8	-8	16
11	Valencia	17	4	3	10	-9	15
12	Ath Bilbao	15	4	2	9	-9	14
13	Leganes	17	3	4	10	-16	13
14	Malaga	17	1	7	9	-15	10
15	Betis	15	3	1	11	-17	10
16	Sp Gijon	17	1	6	10	-17	9
17	Osasuna	16	2	3	11	-24	9
18	La Coruna	16	1	5	10	-21	8
19	Las Palmas	16	1	3	12	-22	6
20	Granada	17	0	4	13	-35	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.