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La Liga
Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan
Celta
S U T S S
1–1
Full-time
La Coruna
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 35%
47%
23%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 60%
57%
63%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
9 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Corners 0
4 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Celta 6. · La Coruna 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 31 24 4 3 +61 76
2 Ath Madrid 31 22 4 5 +36 70
3 Real Madrid 31 21 6 4 +60 69
4 Villarreal 30 15 9 6 +12 54
5 Sevilla 30 13 9 8 +8 48
6 Celta 30 14 6 10 -8 48
7 Ath Bilbao 30 14 5 11 +9 47
8 Malaga 30 10 9 11 +1 39
9 Eibar 30 10 8 12 +0 38
10 La Coruna 30 7 15 8 -4 36
11 Las Palmas 31 10 6 15 -9 36
12 Sociedad 30 9 8 13 -4 35
13 Espanol 30 10 5 15 -25 35
14 Valencia 31 8 10 13 -4 34
15 Betis 31 8 10 13 -17 34
16 Vallecano 31 7 10 14 -20 31
17 Granada 30 7 7 16 -24 28
18 Getafe 31 7 7 17 -26 28
19 Sp Gijon 30 7 6 17 -20 27
20 Levante 30 6 6 18 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Nov -15 La Coruna – Celta 2–0

Match report

Celta La Coruna
Jonny Castro 🟨
15′
Daniel Wass 🟨
18′
21′
C. Borges 0–1
Luis Alberto
1–1 Nolito
F. Orellana
30′
38′
🔁 Manu
↦ G. Lux
Half-time 1–1
61′
🟨 Alejandro Arribas
68′
🟨 Alejandro Arribas
68′
🟥 Alejandro Arribas
70′
🔁 Luisinho
↦ F. Cartabia
J. Guidetti 🔁
↦ T. Bongonda
73′
Gustavo Cabral 🟨
78′
81′
🔁 Lopo
↦ Sidnei
87′
🟨 Luisinho
P. Hernández 🔁
↦ D. Wass
88′
Hugo Mallo 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Manu
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Celta

1 Sergio Álvarez G
22 G. Cabral D
2 Hugo Mallo D
20 Sergi Gómez D
19 Jonny Castro D
14 F. Orellana M
18 D. Wass M
6 N. Radoja M
9 Iago Aspas F
10 Nolito F
7 T. Bongonda M
Bench (7)
11 J. Guidetti
8 P. Hernández
12 C. Beauvue
13 Rubén Blanco
21 Planas
23 Josep Señé
33 Pape Diop

La Coruna

1 G. Lux G
3 Fernando Navarro D
12 Sidnei D
14 Alejandro Arribas D
22 C. Borges M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
19 F. Fajr M
11 Juanfran D
21 Luis Alberto F
17 F. Cartabia M
7 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (7)
25 Manu
16 Luisinho
23 Lopo
4 Álex Bergantiños
6 Cani
9 Oriol Riera
15 Laure

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Fernandez Borbalan · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.