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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Toulouse
T S T U S
0–0
Full-time
Angers
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
24%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
52%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Toulouse 13. · Angers 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 19 17 2 0 +52 53
2 Lille 22 13 4 5 +14 43
3 Lyon 22 11 7 4 +11 40
4 St Etienne 21 10 6 5 +7 36
5 Strasbourg 22 9 8 5 +13 35
6 Montpellier 21 9 8 4 +12 35
7 Nice 22 9 7 6 -1 34
8 Marseille 21 9 4 8 +3 31
9 Reims 22 7 10 5 -2 31
10 Rennes 21 8 6 7 +2 30
11 Nimes 22 8 5 9 -2 29
12 Bordeaux 21 7 7 7 +0 28
13 Toulouse 21 6 7 8 -10 25
14 Nantes 21 6 5 10 -2 23
15 Angers 21 5 8 8 -4 23
16 Dijon 21 5 5 11 -14 20
17 Caen 22 3 9 10 -11 18
18 Amiens 22 5 3 14 -19 18
19 Monaco 22 3 6 13 -19 15
20 Guingamp 22 3 5 14 -30 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Toulouse Angers
Half-time 0–0
A. Leya 🔁
↦ Y. Sanogo
70′
Manu García 🔁
↦ J. Durmaz
74′
79′
🔁 Cristian López
↦ S. Bahoken
79′
🔁 F. El Melali
↦ J. Reine-Adélaïde
Issiaga Sylla 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 A. Fulgini
↦ T. Mangani
84′
🟨 Romain Thomas
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Toulouse

3-4-3
30 B. Reynet G
3 G. Shōji D
6 C. Jullien D
5 S. Moreira D
12 Issiaga Sylla D
21 J. Durmaz M
4 Y. Cahuzac M
14 M. Dossevi M
17 I. Sangaré M
7 M. Gradel M
9 Y. Sanogo F
Bench (7)
10 A. Leya
22 Manu García
26 K. Sidibé
19 B. Diakité
1 M. Goicoechea
8 C. Jean
15 J. Bostock

Coach: A. Casanova

Angers

4-3-3
16 L. Butelle G
4 M. Pavlović D
24 R. Thomas D
29 V. Manceau D
25 A. Bamba D
5 T. Mangani M
17 C. N'Doye M
20 F. Tait M
18 B. Santamaría M
22 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (7)
9 Cristian López
28 F. El Melali
10 A. Fulgini
33 K. Mouanga
1 Z. Boucher
2 R. Aït Nouri
11 W. Kanga

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.