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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Lyon
U S S U T
3–0
Full-time
Monaco
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
50%
19%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

74% Possession 26%
21 Shots 4
11 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 1
6 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lyon 4. · Monaco 19. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 16 14 2 0 +39 44
2 Lille 18 10 4 4 +11 34
3 Montpellier 16 8 5 3 +12 29
4 Lyon 16 8 4 4 +6 28
5 St Etienne 17 7 6 4 +3 27
6 Marseille 16 8 2 6 +4 26
7 Nice 17 7 5 5 -2 26
8 Reims 18 6 7 5 -3 25
9 Strasbourg 18 5 8 5 +5 23
10 Nimes 17 6 5 6 +2 23
11 Rennes 17 6 5 6 -2 23
12 Bordeaux 16 5 6 5 +0 21
13 Nantes 16 5 5 6 +0 20
14 Angers 16 4 6 6 -2 18
15 Toulouse 16 4 6 6 -10 18
16 Dijon 17 4 4 9 -12 16
17 Amiens 17 5 1 11 -14 16
18 Caen 17 2 8 7 -7 14
19 Monaco 16 3 4 9 -8 13
20 Guingamp 17 1 5 11 -22 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Feb -18 Monaco – Lyon 3–2 13. Oct -17 Lyon – Monaco 3–2 23. Apr -17 Lyon – Monaco 1–2 18. Dec -16 Monaco – Lyon 1–3 7. May -16 Lyon – Monaco 6–1

Match report

Lyon Monaco
1–0 H. Aouar ⚽
6′
2–0 N. Fekir ⚽
K. Tete
34′
Half-time 2–0
Memphis Depay 🟨
46′
46′
🟨 Radamel Falcao
47′
🟥 Aleksandr Golovin
48′
🟨 Andrea Raggi
53′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ B. Badiashile
53′
🔁 S. Diop
↦ N. Chadli
3–0 F. Mendy ⚽
K. Tete
59′
M. Dembélé 🔁
↦ B. Traoré
67′
69′
🔁 H. Massengo
↦ Pelé
Pape Diop 🔁
↦ H. Aouar
80′
M. Terrier 🔁
↦ J. Denayer
85′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lyon

3-4-1-2
1 Anthony Lopes G
6 Marcelo D
20 Fernando Marçal D
23 K. Tete D
22 F. Mendy D
5 J. Denayer D
29 L. Tousart M
8 H. Aouar M
10 B. Traoré F
11 M. Depay F
18 N. Fekir M
Bench (7)
9 M. Dembélé
24 Pape Diop
7 M. Terrier
13 O. Ndiaye
14 L. Dubois
28 T. NDombèlé
30 M. Gorgelin

Coach: B. Génésio

Monaco

3-5-1-1
16 D. Benaglio G
24 A. Raggi D
25 K. Glik D
39 B. Henrichs D
5 Jemerson D
32 B. Badiashile D
20 N. Chadli M
28 Pelé M
17 A. Golovin M
8 Y. Tielemans M
9 R. Falcao F
Bench (7)
34 M. Sylla
36 S. Diop
42 H. Massengo
43 K. Thuram-Ulien
37 J. Panzo
40 L. Badiashile
41 G. Biancone

Coach: T. Henry

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.