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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez
Villarreal
U S U S U
0–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
0,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 41%
56%
26%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
37%
44%
Both score Ø 39%
37%
41%
Average goals
1,9
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 4. · Las Palmas 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 27 22 3 2 +52 69
2 Ath Madrid 27 19 4 4 +28 61
3 Real Madrid 28 18 6 4 +54 60
4 Villarreal 27 15 8 4 +15 53
5 Sevilla 27 12 8 7 +10 44
6 Celta 28 12 6 10 -11 42
7 Ath Bilbao 27 12 5 10 +6 41
8 Eibar 27 10 6 11 +4 36
9 Valencia 27 8 10 9 +2 34
10 Sociedad 27 9 7 11 -2 34
11 Malaga 27 8 8 11 -1 32
12 La Coruna 27 6 14 7 -2 32
13 Betis 27 7 10 10 -12 31
14 Espanol 27 8 4 15 -27 28
15 Las Palmas 27 7 6 14 -11 27
16 Getafe 27 7 5 15 -18 26
17 Vallecano 27 6 8 13 -21 26
18 Granada 27 7 5 15 -22 26
19 Sp Gijon 27 6 6 15 -18 24
20 Levante 27 5 5 17 -26 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.