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Bundesliga

Referee: Markus Schmidt

Augsburg

T T S U T

3–3

Full-time

Leverkusen

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 34%

25%

42%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

50%

58%

Both score Ø 52%

54%

50%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 20

5 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 9

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 5

0 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Augsburg 13. · Leverkusen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	24	20	2	2	+46	62
2	Dortmund	24	18	3	3	+34	57
3	Hertha	24	12	6	6	+9	42
4	M'gladbach	24	12	3	9	+9	39
5	Mainz	24	12	3	9	+4	39
6	Schalke 04	24	11	5	8	+3	38
7	Leverkusen	24	10	5	9	+3	35
8	Wolfsburg	24	9	7	8	+5	34
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	24	8	7	9	-7	31
10	FC Koln	24	7	9	8	-5	30
11	Hamburg	24	7	7	10	-6	28
12	Stuttgart	24	8	4	12	-13	28
13	Augsburg	24	6	7	11	-8	25
14	Darmstadt	24	6	7	11	-13	25
15	Werder Bremen	24	6	6	12	-16	24
16	Ein Frankfurt	24	5	8	11	-12	23
17	Hoffenheim	24	4	9	11	-12	21
18	Hannover	24	5	2	17	-21	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	11	0	1	+32	33
2	Dortmund	11	10	1	0	+25	31
3	M'gladbach	13	9	1	3	+13	28
4	Hertha	12	7	4	1	+9	25
5	Wolfsburg	12	7	3	2	+14	24
6	Schalke 04	13	7	3	3	+4	24
7	Mainz	12	7	1	4	+4	22
8	Leverkusen	12	5	3	4	+5	18
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	12	5	3	4	+1	18
10	FC Koln	12	4	4	4	+0	16
11	Stuttgart	12	5	1	6	-5	16
12	Ein Frankfurt	12	3	5	4	-3	14
13	Hoffenheim	12	3	5	4	-3	14
14	Hamburg	12	3	4	5	-2	13
15	Augsburg	12	2	4	6	-6	10
16	Werder Bremen	11	1	4	6	-11	7
17	Darmstadt	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	Hannover	12	2	0	10	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	9	2	1	+14	29
2	Dortmund	13	8	2	3	+9	26
3	Darmstadt	12	5	3	4	+0	18
4	Mainz	12	5	2	5	+0	17
5	Hertha	12	5	2	5	+0	17
6	Leverkusen	12	5	2	5	-2	17
7	Werder Bremen	13	5	2	6	-5	17
8	Augsburg	12	4	3	5	-2	15
9	Hamburg	12	4	3	5	-4	15
10	Schalke 04	11	4	2	5	-1	14
11	FC Koln	12	3	5	4	-5	14
12	FC Ingolstadt 04	12	3	4	5	-8	13
13	Stuttgart	12	3	3	6	-8	12
14	M'gladbach	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Hannover	12	3	2	7	-10	11
16	Wolfsburg	12	2	4	6	-9	10
17	Ein Frankfurt	12	2	3	7	-9	9
18	Hoffenheim	12	1	4	7	-9	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.