Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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St Etienne
Reims
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 32 |
| 2 |
Angers
|
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 22 |
| 3 |
Caen
|
11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | +0 | 21 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 |
St Etienne
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +0 | 19 |
| 6 |
Nice
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 17 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |
Monaco
|
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +0 | 17 |
| 9 |
Lorient
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 |
Nantes
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 |
Reims
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 12 |
Guingamp
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 |
Bordeaux
|
11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 |
Marseille
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 15 |
Lille
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 |
Bastia
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 |
Montpellier
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 |
Toulouse
|
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 |
Gazelec FC Ajaccio
|
11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 |
Troyes
|
11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -15 | 4 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
H. Traoré
D
T. Siebatcheu
F
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Paris SG
St Etienne
St Etienne
Gazelec FC Ajaccio
Caen
St Etienne
St Etienne
Nice
Troyes
St Etienne
Mikael Lesage · 76 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.