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Serie A

Referee: Maurizio Mariani

Juventus

S S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Atalanta

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

0,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,7

This season — Serie A · 27/26 matches

Win Ø 64%

85%

42%

Points per game

2,6

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

56%

46%

Both score Ø 48%

33%

62%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

2,4

1,5

Conceded

0,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,9

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

15 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 8

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 23

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Juventus 1. · Atalanta 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	27	23	2	2	+50	71
2	Napoli	28	22	4	2	+43	70
3	Roma	28	17	5	6	+24	56
4	Lazio	28	16	5	7	+30	53
5	Inter	27	14	10	3	+21	52
6	Milan	27	14	5	8	+8	47
7	Sampdoria	27	13	5	9	+9	44
8	Atalanta	26	11	8	7	+9	41
9	Fiorentina	27	10	8	9	+4	38
10	Torino	27	8	12	7	+1	36
11	Udinese	27	10	3	14	-3	33
12	Bologna	28	10	3	15	-7	33
13	Genoa	27	8	6	13	-7	30
14	Cagliari	27	7	5	15	-18	26
15	Chievo	27	6	7	14	-21	25
16	Crotone	27	6	6	15	-21	24
17	Spal	28	5	9	14	-22	24
18	Sassuolo	27	6	6	15	-31	24
19	Verona	27	6	4	17	-26	22
20	Benevento	27	3	1	23	-43	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	13	11	1	1	+28	34
2	Napoli	14	10	2	2	+20	32
3	Sampdoria	14	10	2	2	+19	32
4	Inter	15	9	5	1	+16	32
5	Roma	15	9	1	5	+10	28
6	Lazio	13	7	2	4	+17	23
7	Milan	12	7	2	3	+2	23
8	Atalanta	13	6	4	3	+8	22
9	Fiorentina	14	6	4	4	+2	22
10	Torino	13	5	5	3	+8	20
11	Bologna	15	5	3	7	-1	18
12	Udinese	13	5	2	6	+2	17
13	Crotone	14	4	4	6	-4	16
14	Chievo	13	4	4	5	-4	16
15	Spal	13	3	5	5	-8	14
16	Cagliari	14	4	2	8	-9	14
17	Verona	14	4	1	9	-13	13
18	Genoa	13	3	2	8	-6	11
19	Sassuolo	14	2	5	7	-12	11
20	Benevento	13	3	1	9	-15	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	14	12	2	0	+23	38
2	Juventus	14	12	1	1	+22	37
3	Lazio	15	9	3	3	+13	30
4	Roma	13	8	4	1	+14	28
5	Milan	15	7	3	5	+6	24
6	Inter	12	5	5	2	+5	20
7	Atalanta	13	5	4	4	+1	19
8	Genoa	14	5	4	5	-1	19
9	Fiorentina	13	4	4	5	+2	16
10	Udinese	14	5	1	8	-5	16
11	Torino	14	3	7	4	-7	16
12	Bologna	13	5	0	8	-6	15
13	Sassuolo	13	4	1	8	-19	13
14	Cagliari	13	3	3	7	-9	12
15	Sampdoria	13	3	3	7	-10	12
16	Spal	15	2	4	9	-14	10
17	Verona	13	2	3	8	-13	9
18	Chievo	14	2	3	9	-17	9
19	Crotone	13	2	2	9	-17	8
20	Benevento	14	0	0	14	-28	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.