Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Genoa
Frosinone
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 | +38 | 69 |
| 2 |
Napoli
|
25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | +28 | 56 |
| 3 |
Milan
|
26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | +17 | 48 |
| 4 |
Inter
|
26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | +16 | 47 |
| 5 |
Roma
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +13 | 44 |
| 6 |
Torino
|
26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | +11 | 41 |
| 7 |
Lazio
|
25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 41 |
| 8 |
Atalanta
|
25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | +15 | 38 |
| 9 |
Fiorentina
|
25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | +11 | 36 |
| 10 |
Sampdoria
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | +9 | 36 |
| 11 |
Sassuolo
|
26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 |
Parma
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 |
Genoa
|
25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 |
Cagliari
|
26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | -14 | 27 |
| 15 |
Spal
|
25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -15 | 23 |
| 16 |
Udinese
|
24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 22 |
| 17 |
Empoli
|
26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -18 | 22 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -19 | 18 |
| 19 |
Frosinone
|
25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | -30 | 16 |
| 20 |
Chievo
|
26 | 1 | 10 | 15 | -32 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
I. Radu
G
C. Romero
D
C. Kouamé
F
Coach: C. Prandelli
M. Sportiello
G
E. Goldaniga
D
A. Pinamonti
F
Coach: M. Baroni
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Chievo
Genoa
Genoa
Lazio
Bologna
Genoa
Genoa
Sassuolo
Empoli
Genoa
Maurizio Mariani · 79 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.