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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Boavista

U S T T T

2–0

Full-time

Belenenses

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Belenenses

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 31%

27%

35%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

31%

42%

Both score Ø 37%

35%

38%

Average goals

2,1

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

14 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

26 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Boavista 13. · Belenenses 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	27	21	3	3	+50	66
2	Porto	27	21	3	3	+39	66
3	Sp Lisbon	27	18	4	5	+25	58
4	Sp Braga	27	18	4	5	+19	58
5	Moreirense	27	14	3	10	-1	45
6	Guimaraes	27	12	6	9	+7	42
7	Belenenses	26	9	11	6	+6	38
8	Santa Clara	27	10	5	12	+0	35
9	Rio Ave	27	8	8	11	-4	32
10	Portimonense	27	9	5	13	-7	32
11	Maritimo	27	9	3	15	-14	30
12	Aves	27	8	5	14	-11	29
13	Boavista	26	7	5	14	-14	26
14	Nacional	27	7	5	15	-28	26
15	Vitoria Setubal	26	5	10	11	-7	25
16	Tondela	27	6	7	14	-12	25
17	Chaves	27	6	6	15	-19	24
18	Feirense	26	2	9	15	-29	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	14	12	1	1	+20	37
2	Sp Braga	14	11	1	2	+15	34
3	Porto	13	11	0	2	+24	33
4	Benfica	13	10	2	1	+31	32
5	Guimaraes	13	8	3	2	+9	27
6	Moreirense	13	7	3	3	+2	24
7	Portimonense	14	6	4	4	+6	22
8	Belenenses	13	5	4	4	+5	19
9	Boavista	13	6	1	6	+0	19
10	Rio Ave	14	4	5	5	-2	17
11	Santa Clara	14	5	2	7	-2	17
12	Maritimo	13	5	2	6	-4	17
13	Nacional	14	5	2	7	-5	17
14	Aves	14	4	3	7	-3	15
15	Tondela	13	4	3	6	-5	15
16	Vitoria Setubal	13	3	5	5	-1	14
17	Chaves	14	3	5	6	-5	14
18	Feirense	12	1	5	6	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	14	11	1	2	+19	34
2	Porto	14	10	3	1	+15	33
3	Sp Braga	13	7	3	3	+4	24
4	Sp Lisbon	13	6	3	4	+5	21
5	Moreirense	14	7	0	7	-3	21
6	Belenenses	13	4	7	2	+1	19
7	Santa Clara	13	5	3	5	+2	18
8	Rio Ave	13	4	3	6	-2	15
9	Guimaraes	14	4	3	7	-2	15
10	Aves	13	4	2	7	-8	14
11	Maritimo	14	4	1	9	-10	13
12	Vitoria Setubal	13	2	5	6	-6	11
13	Tondela	14	2	4	8	-7	10
14	Portimonense	13	3	1	9	-13	10
15	Chaves	13	3	1	9	-14	10
16	Nacional	13	2	3	8	-23	9
17	Boavista	13	1	4	8	-14	7
18	Feirense	14	1	4	9	-22	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.