La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Valladolid
Sociedad
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
29 | 21 | 6 | 2 | +48 | 69 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | +24 | 59 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | +17 | 54 |
| 4 |
Getafe
|
29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 |
Alaves
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | -4 | 44 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | +10 | 43 |
| 7 |
Valencia
|
29 | 9 | 16 | 4 | +8 | 43 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 |
Betis
|
29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 |
Sociedad
|
28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | +0 | 36 |
| 11 |
Eibar
|
29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | -2 | 36 |
| 12 |
Leganes
|
29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 |
Girona
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 |
Espanol
|
29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 |
Levante
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -11 | 32 |
| 16 |
Villarreal
|
29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 29 |
| 17 |
Valladolid
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -16 | 29 |
| 18 |
Celta
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 28 |
| 19 |
Vallecano
|
29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -21 | 24 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -19 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Eibar
Valladolid
Valladolid
Real Madrid
Espanol
Valladolid
Valladolid
Betis
Barcelona
Valladolid
Javier Alberola Rojas · 70 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.