Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Chievo
Roma
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 | +31 | 60 |
| 2 |
Napoli
|
22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | +24 | 51 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | +15 | 40 |
| 4 |
Lazio
|
23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | +7 | 38 |
| 5 |
Milan
|
22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | +8 | 36 |
| 6 |
Atalanta
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +18 | 35 |
| 7 |
Roma
|
22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | +11 | 35 |
| 8 |
Sampdoria
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +10 | 33 |
| 9 |
Fiorentina
|
22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | +8 | 31 |
| 10 |
Torino
|
22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 31 |
| 11 |
Sassuolo
|
22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 |
Parma
|
22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 |
Genoa
|
22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 |
Spal
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -11 | 22 |
| 15 |
Cagliari
|
22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | -12 | 21 |
| 16 |
Udinese
|
22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 |
Empoli
|
23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 |
Frosinone
|
22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | -27 | 13 |
| 20 |
Chievo
|
22 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -25 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
F. Barba
D
M. Bani
D
M. Léris
F
M. Stępiński
F
Coach: D. Di Carlo
S. Nzonzi
M
B. Cristante
M
N. Zaniolo
M
E. Džeko
F
S. El Shaarawy
F
P. Schick
F
Coach: E. Di Francesco
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Empoli
Chievo
Chievo
Fiorentina
Juventus
Chievo
Chievo
Frosinone
Sampdoria
Chievo
Rosario Abisso · 48 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.