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Serie A
Referee: Rosario Abisso
Chievo
T S T T U
0–3
Full-time
Roma
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — Serie A · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 23%
5%
41%
Points per game
0,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
64%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
0,9
1,9
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chievo 20. · Roma 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 22 19 3 0 +31 60
2 Napoli 22 16 3 3 +24 51
3 Inter 22 12 4 6 +15 40
4 Lazio 23 11 5 7 +7 38
5 Milan 22 9 9 4 +8 36
6 Atalanta 22 10 5 7 +18 35
7 Roma 22 9 8 5 +11 35
8 Sampdoria 22 9 6 7 +10 33
9 Fiorentina 22 7 10 5 +8 31
10 Torino 22 7 10 5 +5 31
11 Sassuolo 22 7 9 6 +1 30
12 Parma 22 8 5 9 -6 29
13 Genoa 22 6 6 10 -10 24
14 Spal 22 5 7 10 -11 22
15 Cagliari 22 4 9 9 -12 21
16 Udinese 22 4 7 11 -12 19
17 Empoli 23 4 6 13 -18 18
18 Bologna 22 3 8 11 -17 17
19 Frosinone 22 2 7 13 -27 13
20 Chievo 22 1 9 12 -25 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chievo Roma
9′
S. El Shaarawy 0–1
S. Nzonzi
14′
🟨 Bryan Cristante
17′
🟨 Nicolò Zaniolo
18′
E. Džeko 0–2
R. Karsdorp
Federico Barba 🟨
21′
F. Depaoli 🔁
↦ N. Frey
39′
Half-time 0–3
51′
A. Kolarov 0–3
E. Džeko
Lucas Piazon 🔁
↦ P. Hetemaj
59′
59′
🔁 A. Florenzi
↦ P. Schick
E. Schelotto 🔁
↦ F. Depaoli
72′
76′
🔁 D. De Rossi
↦ N. Zaniolo
86′
🔁 J. Kluivert
↦ S. El Shaarawy
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Chievo

4-3-1-2
70 S. Sorrentino G
6 N. Frey D
15 L. Rossettini D
5 F. Barba D
14 M. Bani D
56 P. Hetemaj M
17 E. Giaccherini M
8 A. Dioussé M
11 M. Léris F
20 F. Đorđević F
9 M. Stępiński F
Bench (12)
27 F. Depaoli
7 Lucas Piazon
2 E. Schelotto
1 A. Šemper
4 N. Rigoni
10 M. Pucciarelli
12 B. Cesar
13 S. Kiyine
25 S. Grubac
44 P. Jaroszyński
67 E. Caprile
69 R. Meggiorini

Coach: D. Di Carlo

Roma

4-3-3
83 A. Mirante G
11 A. Kolarov D
20 F. Fazio D
15 Ivan Marcano D
2 R. Karsdorp D
42 S. Nzonzi M
4 B. Cristante M
22 N. Zaniolo M
9 E. Džeko F
92 S. El Shaarawy F
14 P. Schick F
Bench (9)
24 A. Florenzi
16 D. De Rossi
34 J. Kluivert
5 Juan Jesus
18 D. Santon
19 A. Ćorić
27 J. Pastore
63 Daniel Fuzato
77 S. Greco

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rosario Abisso · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.