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Championship

Referee: Tony Harrington

Aston Villa

U T U S U

3–3

Full-time

Sheffield United

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa Sheffield United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

This season — Championship · 29/30 matches

Win Ø 44%

34%

53%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

62%

57%

Both score Ø 60%

69%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aston Villa 11. · Sheffield United 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	30	16	9	5	+18	57
2	Sheffield United	30	16	6	8	+19	54
3	Leeds	28	15	6	7	+11	51
4	Middlesbrough	29	13	11	5	+12	50
5	West Brom	28	14	7	7	+21	49
6	Derby	27	13	8	6	+10	47
7	Bristol City	29	13	8	8	+8	47
8	Birmingham	30	10	13	7	+9	43
9	Hull	30	12	7	11	+5	43
10	Blackburn	30	11	10	9	-4	43
11	Aston Villa	29	10	12	7	+7	42
12	Nott'm Forest	30	10	12	8	+7	42
13	Swansea	30	11	8	11	+3	41
14	QPR	29	11	6	12	-6	39
15	Stoke	30	9	11	10	-6	38
16	Sheffield Weds	29	10	8	11	-11	38
17	Brentford	29	9	10	10	+7	37
18	Preston	30	9	10	11	+0	37
19	Wigan	30	9	5	16	-14	32
20	Millwall	29	7	9	13	-10	30
21	Rotherham	30	5	11	14	-20	26
22	Reading	30	5	10	15	-12	25
23	Bolton	30	5	8	17	-26	23
24	Ipswich	30	3	9	18	-28	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	15	9	3	3	+13	30
2	Norwich	15	9	2	4	+6	29
3	Brentford	15	8	3	4	+13	27
4	Leeds	14	8	3	3	+9	27
5	Blackburn	15	7	6	2	+8	27
6	Wigan	15	8	3	4	+3	27
7	Derby	13	7	5	1	+8	26
8	West Brom	14	7	4	3	+14	25
9	Birmingham	15	6	7	2	+10	25
10	Aston Villa	15	6	7	2	+7	25
11	Nott'm Forest	15	7	4	4	+6	25
12	Hull	15	7	3	5	+10	24
13	Stoke	15	7	3	5	+1	24
14	Middlesbrough	14	6	5	3	+5	23
15	Bristol City	15	6	5	4	+4	23
16	QPR	14	7	2	5	+3	23
17	Millwall	15	6	5	4	+2	23
18	Preston	15	5	7	3	+7	22
19	Swansea	15	6	4	5	+3	22
20	Sheffield Weds	14	5	6	3	-1	21
21	Rotherham	15	5	6	4	-3	21
22	Reading	15	4	3	8	-3	15
23	Ipswich	15	2	7	6	-6	13
24	Bolton	15	3	4	8	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	15	7	7	1	+12	28
2	Middlesbrough	15	7	6	2	+7	27
3	West Brom	14	7	3	4	+7	24
4	Sheffield United	15	7	3	5	+6	24
5	Bristol City	14	7	3	4	+4	24
6	Leeds	14	7	3	4	+2	24
7	Derby	14	6	3	5	+2	21
8	Swansea	15	5	4	6	+0	19
9	Hull	15	5	4	6	-5	19
10	Birmingham	15	4	6	5	-1	18
11	Nott'm Forest	15	3	8	4	+1	17
12	Aston Villa	14	4	5	5	+0	17
13	Sheffield Weds	15	5	2	8	-10	17
14	QPR	15	4	4	7	-9	16
15	Blackburn	15	4	4	7	-12	16
16	Preston	15	4	3	8	-7	15
17	Stoke	15	2	8	5	-7	14
18	Brentford	14	1	7	6	-6	10
19	Reading	15	1	7	7	-9	10
20	Bolton	15	2	4	9	-16	10
21	Millwall	14	1	4	9	-12	7
22	Wigan	15	1	2	12	-17	5
23	Rotherham	15	0	5	10	-17	5
24	Ipswich	15	1	2	12	-22	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.