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Serie A
Referee: Antonio Giua
Sampdoria
U S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Chievo
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Chievo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
1,7
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 21%
41%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
53%
41%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
59%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 6. · Chievo 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 17 16 1 0 +26 49
2 Napoli 17 13 2 2 +20 41
3 Inter 17 10 3 4 +15 33
4 Lazio 17 8 4 5 +5 28
5 Milan 18 7 7 4 +5 28
6 Sampdoria 17 7 5 5 +8 26
7 Fiorentina 17 6 7 4 +8 25
8 Sassuolo 17 6 7 4 +4 25
9 Atalanta 17 7 3 7 +8 24
10 Roma 17 6 6 5 +6 24
11 Torino 17 5 8 4 +2 23
12 Parma 17 6 4 7 -5 22
13 Genoa 17 5 4 8 -9 19
14 Cagliari 17 3 8 6 -7 17
15 Empoli 17 4 4 9 -11 16
16 Spal 17 4 4 9 -11 16
17 Udinese 17 3 5 9 -9 14
18 Bologna 17 2 7 8 -11 13
19 Frosinone 18 1 7 10 -24 10
20 Chievo 17 0 8 9 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Chievo
15′
🔁 P. Hetemaj
↦ J. Obi
Half-time 0–0
G. Ramírez 🔁
↦ R. Saponara
46′
1–0 F. Quagliarella
G. Ramírez
47′
Joachim Andersen 🟨
56′
2–0 G. Ramírez
N. Murru
59′
66′
🔁 F. Depaoli
↦ P. Jaroszyński
71′
🔁 E. Giaccherini
↦ S. Kiyine
74′
🟨 Boštjan Cesar
G. Defrel 🔁
↦ G. Caprari
75′
Gastón Ramírez 🟨
84′
J. Jankto 🔁
↦ D. Praet
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-3-1-2
1 E. Audero G
7 J. Sala D
29 N. Murru D
3 J. Andersen D
15 O. Colley D
6 A. Ekdal M
5 R. Saponara M
10 D. Praet M
16 K. Linetty M
27 F. Quagliarella F
17 G. Caprari F
Bench (11)
11 G. Ramírez
92 G. Defrel
14 J. Jankto
4 R. Vieira Nan
18 M. Leverbe
22 Junior Tavares
25 A. Ferrari
26 L. Tonelli
72 V. Belec
95 G. Rolando
99 D. Kownacki

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Chievo

3-4-1-2
70 S. Sorrentino G
12 B. Cesar D
5 F. Barba D
14 M. Bani D
44 P. Jaroszyński D
8 I. Radovanović M
22 J. Obi M
11 M. Léris F
13 S. Kiyine M
69 R. Meggiorini F
9 M. Stępiński F
Bench (12)
56 P. Hetemaj
27 F. Depaoli
17 E. Giaccherini
1 A. Šemper
3 S. Tanasijević
4 N. Rigoni
15 L. Rossettini
20 F. Đorđević
25 S. Grubac
31 S. Pellissier
40 N. Tomović
55 Emanuel Vignato

Coach: D. Di Carlo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.