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Serie A

Referee: Piero Giacomelli

Roma

T U U S T

3–1

Full-time

Sassuolo

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Sassuolo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 35%

35%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 59%

59%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,7

1,6

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%

20 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

8 Corners 5

4 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 11. · Sassuolo 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	16	2	0	+26	50
2	Napoli	17	13	2	2	+20	41
3	Inter	17	10	3	4	+15	33
4	Lazio	18	9	4	5	+7	31
5	Sampdoria	18	8	5	5	+10	29
6	Milan	18	7	7	4	+5	28
7	Atalanta	18	7	4	7	+8	25
8	Fiorentina	18	6	7	5	+7	25
9	Sassuolo	17	6	7	4	+4	25
10	Parma	18	7	4	7	-4	25
11	Roma	17	6	6	5	+6	24
12	Torino	17	5	8	4	+2	23
13	Cagliari	18	4	8	6	-6	20
14	Genoa	18	5	4	9	-10	19
15	Empoli	17	4	4	9	-11	16
16	Spal	17	4	4	9	-11	16
17	Udinese	17	3	5	9	-9	14
18	Bologna	18	2	7	9	-13	13
19	Frosinone	18	1	7	10	-24	10
20	Chievo	18	0	8	10	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Napoli	9	7	2	0	+16	23
3	Inter	8	6	1	1	+12	19
4	Fiorentina	9	5	2	2	+9	17
5	Sampdoria	9	5	2	2	+7	17
6	Lazio	9	5	2	2	+6	17
7	Milan	9	5	2	2	+3	17
8	Roma	8	4	3	1	+8	15
9	Genoa	9	4	3	2	+3	15
10	Atalanta	9	4	2	3	+8	14
11	Cagliari	9	3	5	1	+3	14
12	Sassuolo	9	3	5	1	+2	14
13	Parma	9	3	4	2	+1	13
14	Empoli	9	4	1	4	-1	13
15	Torino	8	3	1	4	-2	10
16	Spal	8	2	3	3	-3	9
17	Bologna	9	2	3	4	-4	9
18	Udinese	9	2	2	5	-7	8
19	Frosinone	9	0	5	4	-10	5
20	Chievo	9	0	4	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Napoli	8	6	0	2	+4	18
3	Inter	9	4	2	3	+3	14
4	Lazio	9	4	2	3	+1	14
5	Torino	9	2	7	0	+4	13
6	Sampdoria	9	3	3	3	+3	12
7	Parma	9	4	0	5	-5	12
8	Sassuolo	8	3	2	3	+2	11
9	Milan	9	2	5	2	+2	11
10	Atalanta	9	3	2	4	+0	11
11	Roma	9	2	3	4	-2	9
12	Fiorentina	9	1	5	3	-2	8
13	Spal	9	2	1	6	-8	7
14	Udinese	8	1	3	4	-2	6
15	Cagliari	9	1	3	5	-9	6
16	Frosinone	9	1	2	6	-14	5
17	Bologna	9	0	4	5	-9	4
18	Chievo	9	0	4	5	-12	4
19	Genoa	9	1	1	7	-13	4
20	Empoli	8	0	3	5	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.