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Serie A

Referee: Federico La Penna

Empoli

T T T T U

1–3

Full-time

Genoa

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 23%

20%

25%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

65%

60%

Both score Ø 68%

65%

70%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

15 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Empoli 17. · Genoa 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	21	19	2	0	+31	59
2	Napoli	21	15	3	3	+21	48
3	Inter	21	12	4	5	+16	40
4	Milan	21	9	8	4	+8	35
5	Roma	21	9	7	5	+11	34
6	Sampdoria	21	9	6	6	+13	33
7	Atalanta	21	9	5	7	+17	32
8	Lazio	21	9	5	7	+5	32
9	Fiorentina	21	7	9	5	+8	30
10	Torino	21	7	9	5	+5	30
11	Sassuolo	21	7	8	6	+1	29
12	Parma	21	8	4	9	-6	28
13	Cagliari	21	4	9	8	-11	21
14	Spal	21	5	6	10	-11	21
15	Genoa	20	5	5	10	-12	20
16	Udinese	21	4	6	11	-12	18
17	Empoli	20	4	5	11	-15	17
18	Bologna	21	2	8	11	-18	14
19	Frosinone	21	2	7	12	-26	13
20	Chievo	21	1	8	12	-25	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	10	1	0	+17	31
2	Napoli	11	9	2	0	+18	29
3	Inter	10	7	2	1	+13	23
4	Roma	10	6	3	1	+11	21
5	Milan	11	6	3	2	+4	21
6	Sampdoria	10	6	2	2	+11	20
7	Fiorentina	10	5	3	2	+9	18
8	Lazio	11	5	3	3	+5	18
9	Sassuolo	11	4	5	2	+1	17
10	Torino	10	5	1	4	+2	16
11	Genoa	11	4	4	3	+1	16
12	Atalanta	10	4	3	3	+8	15
13	Cagliari	10	3	6	1	+3	15
14	Empoli	10	4	1	5	-2	13
15	Parma	11	3	4	4	-2	13
16	Spal	10	2	5	3	-3	11
17	Udinese	11	3	2	6	-6	11
18	Bologna	10	2	3	5	-8	9
19	Chievo	11	1	4	6	-10	7
20	Frosinone	10	0	5	5	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	10	9	1	0	+14	28
2	Napoli	10	6	1	3	+3	19
3	Atalanta	11	5	2	4	+9	17
4	Inter	11	5	2	4	+3	17
5	Parma	10	5	0	5	-4	15
6	Milan	10	3	5	2	+4	14
7	Torino	11	2	8	1	+3	14
8	Lazio	10	4	2	4	+0	14
9	Sampdoria	11	3	4	4	+2	13
10	Roma	11	3	4	4	+0	13
11	Sassuolo	10	3	3	4	+0	12
12	Fiorentina	11	2	6	3	-1	12
13	Spal	11	3	1	7	-8	10
14	Frosinone	11	2	2	7	-11	8
15	Udinese	10	1	4	5	-6	7
16	Cagliari	11	1	3	7	-14	6
17	Bologna	11	0	5	6	-10	5
18	Empoli	10	0	4	6	-13	4
19	Genoa	9	1	1	7	-13	4
20	Chievo	10	0	4	6	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.