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Primeira Liga
Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida
Feirense
T U U U U
1–2
Full-time
Guimaraes
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feirense Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,2
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
11%
44%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
28%
28%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
44%
Average goals
1,9
2,2
Scored
0,6
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 11
1 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feirense 17. · Guimaraes 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 18 15 1 2 +27 46
2 Benfica 18 13 2 3 +21 41
3 Sp Braga 18 12 4 2 +18 40
4 Sp Lisbon 18 12 2 4 +16 38
5 Moreirense 19 10 1 8 -3 31
6 Belenenses 18 7 8 3 +5 29
7 Guimaraes 18 8 4 6 +4 28
8 Portimonense 18 8 3 7 -2 27
9 Rio Ave 19 6 6 7 -1 24
10 Santa Clara 18 6 3 9 -2 21
11 Maritimo 19 6 2 11 -11 20
12 Vitoria Setubal 18 5 4 9 -4 19
13 Tondela 19 5 4 10 -6 19
14 Nacional 19 5 4 10 -15 19
15 Aves 19 5 3 11 -10 18
16 Boavista 18 4 4 10 -9 16
17 Feirense 18 2 8 8 -13 14
18 Chaves 18 3 3 12 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feirense Guimaraes
5′
Tozé 0–1
Rafa
1–1 Philipe Sampaio
Sturgeon
45′
Half-time 1–2
46′
Tozé 1–2
Rafa
48′
🔁 Pêpê Rodrigues
↦ André André
Crivellaro 🔁
↦ Marco Soares
64′
64′
🔁 Davidson
↦ O. John
João Tavares 🔁
↦ Tiago Gomes
65′
Bruno Nascimento 🔁
↦ Philipe Sampaio
75′
86′
🔁 Mattheus
↦ J. Amoah
90′
🟨 Pêpê
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Feirense

4-4-2
95 André Moreira G
3 Tiago Gomes D
90 Vítor Bruno D
4 A. Briseño D
94 Philipe Sampaio D
2 Diga D
60 Marco Soares M
66 Ali Ghazal M
20 José Valencia F
71 Sturgeon M
9 S. Petkov F
Bench (7)
50 Crivellaro
70 João Tavares
14 Bruno Nascimento
1 D. Alampasu
29 Zé Pedro
17 Cris
11 B. Gómez

Coach: Nuno Santos

Guimaraes

4-1-4-1
1 Douglas Jesus G
2 Pedrão D
5 Rafa D
46 Frederico Venâncio D
17 F. Sacko D
11 André André M
25 A. Wakaso M
20 Tozé M
43 J. Amoah M
30 O. John F
9 Alexandre Guedes F
Bench (7)
8 Pêpê Rodrigues
91 Davidson
16 Mattheus
41 E. Tapsoba
56 João Miguel
7 Welthon
21 F. Hanin

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.