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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Miguel
Maritimo
T T S S S
0–2
Full-time
Rio Ave
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Rio Ave
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
33%
28%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
28%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Maritimo 11. · Rio Ave 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 18 15 1 2 +27 46
2 Benfica 18 13 2 3 +21 41
3 Sp Braga 18 12 4 2 +18 40
4 Sp Lisbon 18 12 2 4 +16 38
5 Belenenses 18 7 8 3 +5 29
6 Guimaraes 18 8 4 6 +4 28
7 Moreirense 18 9 1 8 -4 28
8 Portimonense 18 8 3 7 -2 27
9 Santa Clara 18 6 3 9 -2 21
10 Rio Ave 18 5 6 7 -3 21
11 Maritimo 18 6 2 10 -9 20
12 Tondela 18 5 4 9 -4 19
13 Vitoria Setubal 18 5 4 9 -4 19
14 Nacional 18 5 4 9 -14 19
15 Boavista 18 4 4 10 -9 16
16 Aves 18 4 3 11 -12 15
17 Feirense 18 2 8 8 -13 14
18 Chaves 18 3 3 12 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Maritimo Rio Ave
29′
🟨 Diego Lopes
Rodrigo Pinho 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
Valente 🔁
↦ Edgar Costa
46′
52′
Diego Lopes 0–1
67′
🔁 André
↦ Murilo
Jean Cleber 🔁
↦ Gamboa
68′
69′
🟨 André Silva
L. Barrera 🔁
↦ Fábio China
81′
Bebeto 🟨
85′
Lucas Áfrico 🟨
90′
91′
João Schmidt 0–2
94′
🔁 Afonso Figueiredo
↦ Diego Lopes
94′
🔁 Miguel Rodrigues
↦ Tarantini
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Maritimo

4-4-2
94 Charles G
2 Bebeto D
5 Zainadine Junior D
45 Fábio China D
6 Lucas Áfrico D
44 J. Vuković M
8 J. Correa M
21 Gamboa M
12 Edgar Costa F
95 Joel F
9 Rodrigo Pinho F
Bench (7)
33 Valente
15 Jean Cleber
23 L. Barrera
31 Nanu
99 Pedro Mateus
3 Douglas Grolli
46 Getterson

Coach: Petit

Rio Ave

4-1-4-1
20 Leonardo G
5 Jonathan Buatu
22 Nadjack D
4 Nélson Monte D
2 Matheus Reis D
8 Tarantini M
15 João Schmidt M
10 Diego Lopes M
23 N. Jambor M
9 Bruno Moreira F
7 Murilo M
Bench (7)
99 André
25 Afonso Figueiredo
3 Miguel Rodrigues
81 Vitó
19 Ronan
21 Leandrinho
29 Paulo Vitor

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hugo Miguel · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.