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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Doveri

Genoa

T U T U T

3–1

Full-time

Atalanta

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,8

This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 35%

25%

44%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

69%

63%

Both score Ø 66%

81%

50%

Average goals

3,4

3,1

Scored

1,4

1,9

Conceded

2,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

19 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Genoa 16. · Atalanta 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	16	15	1	0	+25	46
2	Napoli	16	12	2	2	+19	38
3	Inter	16	10	2	4	+15	32
4	Lazio	17	8	4	5	+5	28
5	Milan	16	7	6	3	+6	27
6	Atalanta	16	7	3	6	+10	24
7	Roma	16	6	6	4	+7	24
8	Sassuolo	16	6	6	4	+4	24
9	Sampdoria	16	6	5	5	+6	23
10	Fiorentina	16	5	7	4	+7	22
11	Torino	16	5	7	4	+2	22
12	Parma	16	6	3	7	-5	21
13	Cagliari	17	3	8	6	-7	17
14	Empoli	16	4	4	8	-9	16
15	Spal	16	4	4	8	-10	16
16	Genoa	16	4	4	8	-11	16
17	Udinese	16	3	4	9	-9	13
18	Bologna	16	2	6	8	-11	12
19	Frosinone	16	1	5	10	-24	8
20	Chievo	16	0	7	9	-20	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	Napoli	8	6	2	0	+15	20
3	Inter	8	6	1	1	+12	19
4	Fiorentina	8	5	2	1	+10	17
5	Lazio	9	5	2	2	+6	17
6	Milan	8	5	2	1	+4	17
7	Roma	8	4	3	1	+8	15
8	Sampdoria	8	4	2	2	+5	14
9	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	+8	13
10	Sassuolo	8	3	4	1	+2	13
11	Empoli	8	4	1	3	+1	13
12	Genoa	8	3	3	2	+1	12
13	Parma	8	3	3	2	+1	12
14	Cagliari	8	2	5	1	+2	11
15	Torino	8	3	1	4	-2	10
16	Bologna	8	2	3	3	-2	9
17	Spal	8	2	3	3	-3	9
18	Udinese	8	2	1	5	-7	7
19	Frosinone	8	0	4	4	-10	4
20	Chievo	8	0	3	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	8	8	0	0	+13	24
2	Napoli	8	6	0	2	+4	18
3	Inter	8	4	1	3	+3	13
4	Torino	8	2	6	0	+4	12
5	Atalanta	8	3	2	3	+2	11
6	Sassuolo	8	3	2	3	+2	11
7	Lazio	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Milan	8	2	4	2	+2	10
9	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	+1	9
10	Roma	8	2	3	3	-1	9
11	Parma	8	3	0	5	-6	9
12	Spal	8	2	1	5	-7	7
13	Udinese	8	1	3	4	-2	6
14	Cagliari	9	1	3	5	-9	6
15	Fiorentina	8	0	5	3	-3	5
16	Chievo	8	0	4	4	-10	4
17	Genoa	8	1	1	6	-12	4
18	Frosinone	8	1	1	6	-14	4
19	Bologna	8	0	3	5	-9	3
20	Empoli	8	0	3	5	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.