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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Tagliavento

Milan

S S T S S

2–2

Full-time

Inter

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 55%

67%

42%

Points per game

2,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

50%

58%

Both score Ø 55%

42%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

10 Shots 22

4 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 8

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 5. · Inter 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	13	11	0	2	+19	33
2	Roma	13	8	2	3	+16	26
3	Lazio	13	7	4	2	+12	25
4	Atalanta	13	8	1	4	+7	25
5	Milan	12	8	1	3	+4	25
6	Napoli	13	7	3	3	+9	24
7	Torino	13	6	4	3	+13	22
8	Fiorentina	12	5	5	2	+7	20
9	Chievo	13	5	3	5	-1	18
10	Sampdoria	13	5	3	5	-3	18
11	Inter	12	5	2	5	+2	17
12	Genoa	12	4	4	4	+0	16
13	Bologna	13	4	4	5	-5	16
14	Cagliari	13	5	1	7	-10	16
15	Udinese	13	4	3	6	-4	15
16	Sassuolo	13	4	1	8	-9	13
17	Empoli	13	2	4	7	-11	10
18	Pescara	13	1	4	8	-14	7
19	Palermo	13	1	3	9	-16	6
20	Crotone	13	1	2	10	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Roma	6	6	0	0	+16	18
3	Lazio	7	5	1	1	+10	16
4	Atalanta	7	5	0	2	+5	15
5	Milan	6	5	0	1	+5	15
6	Torino	6	4	2	0	+11	14
7	Napoli	6	4	1	1	+6	13
8	Cagliari	6	4	1	1	+4	13
9	Bologna	7	4	1	2	+4	13
10	Sampdoria	6	4	1	1	+3	13
11	Inter	6	3	2	1	+4	11
12	Chievo	7	3	2	2	+1	11
13	Genoa	6	2	4	0	+5	10
14	Fiorentina	6	2	4	0	+2	10
15	Sassuolo	6	3	0	3	-4	9
16	Udinese	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	Empoli	7	1	2	4	-9	5
18	Crotone	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Pescara	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Palermo	6	0	0	6	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	6	4	0	2	+4	12
2	Napoli	7	3	2	2	+3	11
3	Fiorentina	6	3	1	2	+5	10
4	Atalanta	6	3	1	2	+2	10
5	Milan	6	3	1	2	-1	10
6	Lazio	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Torino	7	2	2	3	+2	8
8	Roma	7	2	2	3	+0	8
9	Chievo	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Udinese	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	Inter	6	2	0	4	-2	6
12	Palermo	7	1	3	3	-5	6
13	Genoa	6	2	0	4	-5	6
14	Empoli	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Sampdoria	7	1	2	4	-6	5
16	Sassuolo	7	1	1	5	-5	4
17	Pescara	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	Bologna	6	0	3	3	-9	3
19	Cagliari	7	1	0	6	-14	3
20	Crotone	7	0	1	6	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.