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Serie A

Referee: Antonio Damato

Milan

S T U S U

3–0

Full-time

Inter

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 50%

43%

57%

Points per game

1,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

43%

29%

Both score Ø 45%

52%

38%

Average goals

2,6

1,9

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 6. · Inter 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	22	15	5	2	+31	50
2	Juventus	22	15	3	4	+27	48
3	Fiorentina	22	13	3	6	+18	42
4	Inter	21	12	5	4	+12	41
5	Roma	22	10	8	4	+15	38
6	Milan	21	9	6	6	+4	33
7	Sassuolo	22	8	9	5	+2	33
8	Lazio	22	9	5	8	-1	32
9	Empoli	22	9	5	8	-3	32
10	Bologna	22	9	2	11	-2	29
11	Torino	22	7	6	9	-1	27
12	Chievo	22	7	6	9	-3	27
13	Atalanta	22	7	6	9	-3	27
14	Palermo	22	7	4	11	-11	25
15	Udinese	22	7	4	11	-16	25
16	Genoa	22	6	6	10	-3	24
17	Sampdoria	22	6	5	11	-6	23
18	Carpi	22	4	7	11	-16	19
19	Frosinone	22	4	4	14	-25	16
20	Verona	22	0	11	11	-19	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	11	9	2	0	+18	29
2	Fiorentina	11	8	1	2	+15	25
3	Roma	11	7	3	1	+13	24
4	Juventus	10	7	2	1	+11	23
5	Lazio	11	6	3	2	+9	21
6	Milan	10	6	2	2	+4	20
7	Inter	11	6	2	3	+4	20
8	Torino	12	5	4	3	+6	19
9	Atalanta	11	5	3	3	+5	18
10	Sampdoria	11	5	2	4	+4	17
11	Genoa	11	5	2	4	+4	17
12	Sassuolo	10	4	5	1	+2	17
13	Empoli	10	4	2	4	+1	14
14	Bologna	12	4	2	6	+0	14
15	Palermo	11	4	2	5	-1	14
16	Frosinone	11	4	2	5	-5	14
17	Chievo	11	3	4	4	-1	13
18	Carpi	12	3	4	5	-2	13
19	Udinese	11	3	3	5	-8	12
20	Verona	11	0	5	6	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	12	8	1	3	+16	25
2	Napoli	11	6	3	2	+13	21
3	Inter	10	6	3	1	+8	21
4	Empoli	12	5	3	4	-4	18
5	Fiorentina	11	5	2	4	+3	17
6	Sassuolo	12	4	4	4	+0	16
7	Bologna	10	5	0	5	-2	15
8	Roma	11	3	5	3	+2	14
9	Chievo	11	4	2	5	-2	14
10	Milan	11	3	4	4	+0	13
11	Udinese	11	4	1	6	-8	13
12	Lazio	11	3	2	6	-10	11
13	Palermo	11	3	2	6	-10	11
14	Atalanta	11	2	3	6	-8	9
15	Torino	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Genoa	11	1	4	6	-7	7
17	Sampdoria	11	1	3	7	-10	6
18	Verona	11	0	6	5	-10	6
19	Carpi	10	1	3	6	-14	6
20	Frosinone	11	0	2	9	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.