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Ligue 1

Referee: Stephane Lannoy

Marseille

U S U U T

1–0

Full-time

Caen

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

1,7

1,8

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 29%

25%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

42%

33%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

2,1

2,6

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

14 Shots 3

1 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 2

8 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 13. · Caen 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	13	9	2	2	+24	29
2	Paris SG	13	9	2	2	+19	29
3	Nice	12	9	2	1	+15	29
4	Lyon	13	7	1	5	+5	22
5	Guingamp	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Rennes	13	6	3	4	-3	21
7	Bordeaux	13	5	5	3	+2	20
8	Toulouse	13	5	4	4	+5	19
9	St Etienne	12	4	6	2	+4	18
10	Angers	13	5	3	5	+0	18
11	Metz	13	5	2	6	-9	17
12	Montpellier	13	3	6	4	-7	15
13	Marseille	12	3	5	4	-1	14
14	Dijon	13	3	5	5	-2	14
15	Caen	12	4	1	7	-11	13
16	Bastia	13	3	3	7	-3	12
17	Nantes	13	3	3	7	-9	12
18	Nancy	13	3	3	7	-11	12
19	Lille	13	3	1	9	-9	10
20	Lorient	13	2	1	10	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	7	6	1	0	+12	19
2	Paris SG	7	5	2	0	+14	17
3	Rennes	7	5	2	0	+7	17
4	Monaco	6	5	1	0	+16	16
5	Guingamp	6	4	2	0	+4	14
6	Toulouse	6	4	0	2	+6	12
7	Dijon	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Lyon	6	4	0	2	+5	12
9	St Etienne	6	3	3	0	+5	12
10	Marseille	6	3	3	0	+4	12
11	Caen	6	4	0	2	-3	12
12	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+3	11
13	Angers	6	3	2	1	+3	11
14	Bordeaux	6	3	2	1	+2	11
15	Bastia	7	2	3	2	+0	9
16	Lille	7	3	0	4	-3	9
17	Nancy	7	2	1	4	-4	7
18	Lorient	7	2	1	4	-7	7
19	Metz	6	2	1	3	-9	7
20	Nantes	6	1	2	3	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	7	4	1	2	+8	13
2	Paris SG	6	4	0	2	+5	12
3	Nice	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Lyon	7	3	1	3	+0	10
5	Metz	7	3	1	3	+0	10
6	Bordeaux	7	2	3	2	+0	9
7	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	+1	8
8	Toulouse	7	1	4	2	-1	7
9	Angers	7	2	1	4	-3	7
10	Nantes	7	2	1	4	-5	7
11	St Etienne	6	1	3	2	-1	6
12	Nancy	6	1	2	3	-7	5
13	Montpellier	7	0	4	3	-10	4
14	Rennes	6	1	1	4	-10	4
15	Bastia	6	1	0	5	-3	3
16	Marseille	6	0	2	4	-5	2
17	Dijon	6	0	2	4	-7	2
18	Lille	6	0	1	5	-6	1
19	Caen	6	0	1	5	-8	1
20	Lorient	6	0	0	6	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.