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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni

Palermo

T S T S U

0–2

Full-time

Milan

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

This season — Serie A · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 39%

32%

45%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

45%

Both score Ø 48%

45%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

35% Possession 65%

12 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 14. · Milan 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	22	15	5	2	+31	50
2	Juventus	22	15	3	4	+27	48
3	Fiorentina	22	13	3	6	+18	42
4	Roma	23	11	8	4	+17	41
5	Inter	22	12	5	5	+9	41
6	Milan	22	10	6	6	+7	36
7	Sassuolo	23	8	9	6	+0	33
8	Lazio	22	9	5	8	-1	32
9	Empoli	22	9	5	8	-3	32
10	Bologna	23	9	2	12	-3	29
11	Torino	22	7	6	9	-1	27
12	Chievo	22	7	6	9	-3	27
13	Atalanta	22	7	6	9	-3	27
14	Palermo	22	7	4	11	-11	25
15	Udinese	22	7	4	11	-16	25
16	Genoa	22	6	6	10	-3	24
17	Sampdoria	22	6	5	11	-6	23
18	Carpi	22	4	7	11	-16	19
19	Frosinone	23	5	4	14	-24	19
20	Verona	22	0	11	11	-19	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	11	9	2	0	+18	29
2	Fiorentina	11	8	1	2	+15	25
3	Roma	11	7	3	1	+13	24
4	Juventus	10	7	2	1	+11	23
5	Milan	11	7	2	2	+7	23
6	Lazio	11	6	3	2	+9	21
7	Inter	11	6	2	3	+4	20
8	Torino	12	5	4	3	+6	19
9	Atalanta	11	5	3	3	+5	18
10	Sampdoria	11	5	2	4	+4	17
11	Genoa	11	5	2	4	+4	17
12	Sassuolo	11	4	5	2	+0	17
13	Frosinone	12	5	2	5	-4	17
14	Empoli	10	4	2	4	+1	14
15	Bologna	12	4	2	6	+0	14
16	Palermo	11	4	2	5	-1	14
17	Chievo	11	3	4	4	-1	13
18	Carpi	12	3	4	5	-2	13
19	Udinese	11	3	3	5	-8	12
20	Verona	11	0	5	6	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	12	8	1	3	+16	25
2	Napoli	11	6	3	2	+13	21
3	Inter	11	6	3	2	+5	21
4	Empoli	12	5	3	4	-4	18
5	Roma	12	4	5	3	+4	17
6	Fiorentina	11	5	2	4	+3	17
7	Sassuolo	12	4	4	4	+0	16
8	Bologna	11	5	0	6	-3	15
9	Chievo	11	4	2	5	-2	14
10	Milan	11	3	4	4	+0	13
11	Udinese	11	4	1	6	-8	13
12	Lazio	11	3	2	6	-10	11
13	Palermo	11	3	2	6	-10	11
14	Atalanta	11	2	3	6	-8	9
15	Torino	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Genoa	11	1	4	6	-7	7
17	Sampdoria	11	1	3	7	-10	6
18	Verona	11	0	6	5	-10	6
19	Carpi	10	1	3	6	-14	6
20	Frosinone	11	0	2	9	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.