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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Orsato
Palermo
S T U T T
1–3
Full-time
Udinese
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
11%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 18. · Udinese 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 10 8 0 2 +14 24
2 Roma 10 7 1 2 +14 22
3 Napoli 10 6 2 2 +9 20
4 Milan 10 6 1 3 +2 19
5 Lazio 10 5 3 2 +9 18
6 Atalanta 10 5 1 4 +0 16
7 Torino 10 4 3 3 +7 15
8 Genoa 9 4 3 2 +5 15
9 Chievo 10 4 3 3 +1 15
10 Inter 10 4 2 4 +0 14
11 Fiorentina 9 3 4 2 +2 13
12 Bologna 10 3 4 3 -3 13
13 Sassuolo 10 4 1 5 -4 13
14 Cagliari 10 4 1 5 -6 13
15 Sampdoria 10 3 2 5 -5 11
16 Udinese 9 3 1 5 -5 10
17 Pescara 10 1 4 5 -6 7
18 Palermo 9 1 3 5 -10 6
19 Empoli 10 1 3 6 -11 6
20 Crotone 10 0 2 8 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Palermo Udinese
1–0 I. Nestorovski
10′
Alessandro Diamanti 🟨
12′
Giuseppe Pezzella 🟨
16′
18′
🟨 Felipe
36′
C. Théréau 1–1
S. Widmer
Half-time 1–1
54′
🔁 E. Agyemang-Badu
↦ Ryder Matos
57′
🟨 Silvan Widmer
I. Chochev 🔁
↦ G. Pezzella
59′
R. Sallai 🔁
↦ A. Diamanti
60′
65′
🔁 R. de Paul
↦ S. Kums
74′
S. Fofana 1–2
E. Hallfreðsson
Roland Sallai 🟨
75′
79′
S. Fofana 1–3
E. Agyemang-Badu
R. Quaison 🔁
↦ A. Gazzi
81′
Roland Sallai 🟨
83′
Roland Sallai 🟥
83′
88′
🔁 J. Jankto
↦ C. Théréau
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Palermo

4-2-3-1
1 J. Posavec G
3 A. Rispoli M
15 T. Cionek D
19 H. Aleesami D
6 E. Goldaniga D
97 G. Pezzella M
14 A. Gazzi M
23 A. Diamanti F
10 O. Hiljemark M
30 I. Nestorovski F
11 Carlos Embalo F
Bench (11)
18 I. Chochev
20 R. Sallai
21 R. Quaison
25 Bruno Henrique
24 O. Bouy
4 S. Anđelković
2 R. Vitiello
89 M. Morganella
28 M. Jajalo
68 A. Fulignati
57 S. Guddo

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Udinese

4-3-3
1 O. Karnezis G
30 Felipe D
5 Danilo D
4 G. Angella D
23 E. Hallfreðsson M
26 S. Kums M
27 S. Widmer M
6 S. Fofana M
77 C. Théréau F
9 D. Zapata F
19 Ryder Matos F
Bench (12)
8 E. Agyemang-Badu
10 R. de Paul
14 J. Jankto
75 T. Heurtaux
53 Ali Adnan
99 A. Balić
95 Lucas Evangelista
22 S. Scuffet
2 M. Wagué
25 S. Perisan
3 Samir
18 S. Perica

Coach: L. Delneri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniele Orsato · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.