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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez
Leganes
U S T T S
1–0
Full-time
Valladolid
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 28%
31%
24%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
34%
34%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
45%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
18 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 12. · Valladolid 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 30 21 7 2 +48 70
2 Ath Madrid 30 18 8 4 +26 62
3 Real Madrid 30 18 3 9 +17 57
4 Getafe 30 12 11 7 +10 47
5 Sevilla 30 13 7 10 +12 46
6 Valencia 30 10 16 4 +9 46
7 Alaves 30 12 8 10 -6 44
8 Ath Bilbao 30 10 13 7 -1 43
9 Betis 29 11 7 11 -4 40
10 Eibar 30 9 12 9 -1 39
11 Sociedad 29 9 10 10 +0 37
12 Leganes 29 9 9 11 -5 36
13 Espanol 30 9 8 13 -11 35
14 Girona 30 8 10 12 -9 34
15 Levante 30 8 8 14 -12 32
16 Villarreal 30 6 12 12 -5 30
17 Valladolid 29 7 9 13 -16 30
18 Celta 30 7 8 15 -10 29
19 Vallecano 30 6 6 18 -22 24
20 Huesca 30 5 8 17 -20 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Dec -18 Valladolid – Leganes 2–4

Match report

Leganes Valladolid
Half-time 0–0
65′
🔁 Keko
↦ Antoñito
72′
🔁 D. Verde
↦ Waldo Rubio
Sabin Merino 🔁
↦ Michael Santos
75′
77′
🟨 Nacho Martinez
Mikel Vesga 🟨
78′
Rubén Pérez 🔁
↦ Mikel Vesga
82′
José Arnáiz 🔁
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
88′
Guido Carrillo 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Javi Moyano
93′
🔁 Javi Moyano
↦ Óscar Plano
1–0 G. Carrillo
Juanfran
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Leganes

3-5-2
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
22 D. Siovas D
2 Juanfran D
5 J. Silva D
3 Bustinza D
15 Rodri Tarín D
8 Recio M
23 Mikel Vesga M
27 Óscar Rodríguez M
20 Michael Santos F
9 G. Carrillo F
Bench (7)
18 Sabin Merino
21 Rubén Pérez
16 José Arnáiz
12 A. Nyom
10 N. El Zhar
4 D. Reyes
29 A. Lunin

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Valladolid

3-4-2-1
1 Jordi Masip G
4 Kiko Olivas D
18 Antoñito D
22 Nacho Martínez D
5 Fernando Calero D
21 Míchel M
14 Rubén Alcaraz M
2 Joaquín Fernández D
10 Óscar Plano M
12 Sergi Guardiola F
7 Waldo Rubio
Bench (7)
24 Keko
11 D. Verde
17 Javi Moyano
28 S. Karim
13 Yoel
27 Miguel De la Fuente
3 Moi Delgado

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.