La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Eibar
Villarreal
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | +29 | 37 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | +13 | 34 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 32 |
| 4 |
Alaves
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 31 |
| 5 |
Real Madrid
|
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 30 |
| 6 |
Betis
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +0 | 26 |
| 7 |
Getafe
|
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | +5 | 25 |
| 8 |
Espanol
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 24 |
| 9 |
Girona
|
18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 |
Levante
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 23 |
| 11 |
Valencia
|
18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | +0 | 22 |
| 12 |
Celta
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | +2 | 21 |
| 13 |
Eibar
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 |
Valladolid
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -4 | 21 |
| 15 |
Sociedad
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -2 | 19 |
| 16 |
Leganes
|
18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 |
Villarreal
|
17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 |
Ath Bilbao
|
17 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -8 | 16 |
| 19 |
Vallecano
|
18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -18 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Betis
Eibar
Eibar
Valencia
Eibar
Levante
Vallecano
Eibar
Eibar
Real Madrid
Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.