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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Doveri

Milan

U T U S S

0–0

Full-time

Napoli

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,0

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,2

This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 60%

45%

75%

Points per game

1,7

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

45%

65%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

2,4

2,9

Scored

1,4

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

14 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 8

0 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Milan 4. · Napoli 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	20	18	2	0	+30	56
2	Napoli	20	15	2	3	+21	47
3	Inter	20	12	4	4	+17	40
4	Milan	20	9	7	4	+8	34
5	Sampdoria	21	9	6	6	+13	33
6	Roma	20	9	6	5	+11	33
7	Lazio	20	9	5	6	+6	32
8	Atalanta	20	9	4	7	+17	31
9	Sassuolo	21	7	8	6	+1	29
10	Parma	20	8	4	8	-5	28
11	Fiorentina	20	6	9	5	+7	27
12	Torino	20	6	9	5	+4	27
13	Cagliari	21	4	9	8	-11	21
14	Genoa	20	5	5	10	-12	20
15	Udinese	21	4	6	11	-12	18
16	Spal	20	4	6	10	-12	18
17	Empoli	20	4	5	11	-15	17
18	Bologna	20	2	8	10	-14	14
19	Chievo	20	1	8	11	-24	11
20	Frosinone	20	1	7	12	-30	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	10	1	0	+17	31
2	Napoli	11	9	2	0	+18	29
3	Inter	10	7	2	1	+13	23
4	Roma	10	6	3	1	+11	21
5	Sampdoria	10	6	2	2	+11	20
6	Milan	10	6	2	2	+4	20
7	Fiorentina	10	5	3	2	+9	18
8	Lazio	10	5	3	2	+6	18
9	Sassuolo	11	4	5	2	+1	17
10	Genoa	11	4	4	3	+1	16
11	Cagliari	10	3	6	1	+3	15
12	Atalanta	9	4	2	3	+8	14
13	Torino	9	4	1	4	+1	13
14	Parma	10	3	4	3	-1	13
15	Empoli	10	4	1	5	-2	13
16	Spal	10	2	5	3	-3	11
17	Udinese	11	3	2	6	-6	11
18	Bologna	9	2	3	4	-4	9
19	Chievo	10	1	4	5	-9	7
20	Frosinone	10	0	5	5	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Napoli	9	6	0	3	+3	18
3	Atalanta	11	5	2	4	+9	17
4	Inter	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Parma	10	5	0	5	-4	15
6	Milan	10	3	5	2	+4	14
7	Torino	11	2	8	1	+3	14
8	Lazio	10	4	2	4	+0	14
9	Sampdoria	11	3	4	4	+2	13
10	Sassuolo	10	3	3	4	+0	12
11	Roma	10	3	3	4	+0	12
12	Fiorentina	10	1	6	3	-2	9
13	Udinese	10	1	4	5	-6	7
14	Spal	10	2	1	7	-9	7
15	Cagliari	11	1	3	7	-14	6
16	Bologna	11	0	5	6	-10	5
17	Frosinone	10	1	2	7	-15	5
18	Empoli	10	0	4	6	-13	4
19	Genoa	9	1	1	7	-13	4
20	Chievo	10	0	4	6	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.