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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Valencia
S S T U U
2–1
Full-time
Huesca
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Huesca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 13%
19%
6%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
13%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
1,6
2,9
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
19 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 15
7 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 14. · Huesca 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 17 11 4 2 +29 37
2 Ath Madrid 17 9 7 1 +13 34
3 Sevilla 16 9 4 3 +13 31
4 Real Madrid 16 9 2 5 +5 29
5 Alaves 17 8 4 5 +2 28
6 Betis 17 7 5 5 +1 26
7 Getafe 17 6 7 4 +5 25
8 Girona 17 5 7 5 -2 22
9 Levante 16 6 4 6 -3 22
10 Celta 17 5 6 6 +2 21
11 Valladolid 17 5 6 6 -3 21
12 Eibar 17 5 6 6 -4 21
13 Espanol 17 6 3 8 -6 21
14 Valencia 16 3 10 3 +0 19
15 Sociedad 17 5 4 8 -2 19
16 Leganes 16 4 6 6 -4 18
17 Ath Bilbao 17 2 10 5 -8 16
18 Villarreal 16 3 6 7 -4 15
19 Vallecano 16 2 4 10 -16 10
20 Huesca 16 1 5 10 -18 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Huesca
1–0 Dani Parejo
D. Cheryshev
25′
Santi Mina 🟨
31′
Denis Cheryshev 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–0
Ezequiel Garay 🟨
49′
54′
🟨 Pablo Insua
Rodrigo 🟨
63′
67′
🔁 S. Longo
↦ Gonzalo Melero
Ferrán Torres 🔁
↦ Santi Mina
71′
72′
J. Hernández 1–1
M. Batshuayi 🔁
↦ D. Wass
75′
82′
🟨 Samuele Longo
José Luis Gayà 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Cristian Rivera
Carlos Soler 🟨
87′
87′
🔁 Lluis Sastre
↦ D. Musto
89′
🔁 Juanjo Camacho
↦ Christian Rivera
Cristiano Piccini 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Xabier Etxeita
2–1 C. Piccini
Rodrigo
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Neto G
24 E. Garay D
21 C. Piccini D
14 José Gayá D
12 M. Diakhaby D
18 D. Wass M
10 Dani Parejo M
11 D. Cheryshev M
8 Carlos Soler M
19 Rodrigo F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (7)
20 Ferrán Torres
23 M. Batshuayi
1 Jaume Doménech
3 Rúben Vezo
15 Toni Lato
26 U. Račić
34 Lee Kang-In

Coach: Marcelino

Huesca

4-1-4-1
13 Santamaría G
3 Etxeita D
24 Jorge Miramón D
18 Pablo Ínsua D
15 Carlos Akapo D
23 D. Musto M
7 David Ferreiro M
6 Moi Gómez M
8 Gonzalo Melero M
17 Christian Rivera M
9 J. Hernández F
Bench (7)
12 S. Longo
22 Lluis Sastre
10 Juanjo Camacho
4 Rúben Semedo
20 R. Brežančić
25 A. Jovanović
26 José Uche

Coach: Francisco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.