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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Betis
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Las Palmas
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,3
This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 33%
50%
16%
Points per game
1,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 41%
41%
41%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 1
8 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 3
4 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Betis 5. · Las Palmas 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 33 25 8 0 +64 83
2 Ath Madrid 33 21 8 4 +36 71
3 Real Madrid 33 20 8 5 +44 68
4 Valencia 33 20 5 8 +26 65
5 Betis 32 16 4 12 +0 52
6 Villarreal 33 15 6 12 +5 51
7 Sevilla 33 14 6 13 -11 48
8 Girona 33 13 8 12 -4 47
9 Getafe 33 12 9 12 +7 45
10 Celta 33 12 8 13 +6 44
11 Sociedad 33 12 7 14 +8 43
12 Eibar 33 12 7 14 -9 43
13 Ath Bilbao 33 9 13 11 -3 40
14 Leganes 33 11 6 16 -13 39
15 Alaves 33 12 2 19 -17 38
16 Espanol 33 8 12 13 -14 36
17 Levante 32 6 13 13 -20 31
18 La Coruna 33 6 9 18 -33 27
19 Las Palmas 32 5 6 21 -42 21
20 Malaga 32 4 5 23 -30 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Las Palmas
32′
🟨 Jonathan Calleri
35′
🟨 Nacho Gil
Half-time 0–0
54′
🔁 Javi Castellano
↦ A. Aquilani
Sergio León 🟨
65′
Cristian Tello 🔁
↦ Sergio León
66′
67′
🔁 Vicente Gómez
↦ A. Halilović
68′
🟨 Michel Macedo
A. Sanabria 🔁
↦ Joaquín
71′
Aïssa Mandi 🟨
77′
J. Campbell 🔁
↦ R. Boudebouz
81′
84′
🔁 I. Ezekiel
↦ Nacho Gil
86′
🟨 Michel Macedo
86′
🟥 Michel Macedo
87′
🟨 Ximo Navarro
Junior Firpo 🟨
90′
1–0 J. Firpo
Barragán
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Betis

3-5-1-1
1 Dani Giménez G
19 Barragán M
23 A. Mandi D
5 Jordi Amat D
15 Bartra D
28 J. Firpo M
17 Joaquín M
18 A. Guardado M
10 R. Boudebouz M
6 Fabián Ruiz M
7 Sergio León F
Bench (7)
20 Cristian Tello
9 A. Sanabria
12 J. Campbell
8 Víctor Camarasa
14 R. Durmisi
24 Rubén Castro
31 Pedro López

Coach: Quique Setién

Las Palmas

5-4-1
1 Raúl Lizoáin G
5 David García D
12 Míchel D
23 Dani Castellano D
20 Alejandro Gálvez D
22 Ximo Navarro D
25 A. Aquilani M
8 A. Halilović M
6 O. Etebo M
15 Nacho Gil M
9 J. Calleri F
Bench (7)
18 Javi Castellano
4 Vicente Gómez
14 I. Ezekiel
2 David Simón
3 M. Aguirregaray
13 L. Chichizola
29 Erik Expósito

Coach: Paco Jémez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.