La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Girona
Betis
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 | +63 | 79 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | +36 | 68 |
| 3 |
Valencia
|
31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | +28 | 65 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | +43 | 64 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
31 | 15 | 4 | 12 | -1 | 49 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | +4 | 47 |
| 7 |
Sevilla
|
31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | -11 | 46 |
| 8 |
Girona
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 44 |
| 9 |
Celta
|
31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | +7 | 43 |
| 10 |
Eibar
|
31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | -9 | 40 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | +5 | 39 |
| 12 |
Ath Bilbao
|
31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | -2 | 39 |
| 13 |
Sociedad
|
31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | +4 | 37 |
| 14 |
Espanol
|
31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | -12 | 36 |
| 15 |
Leganes
|
31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | -13 | 36 |
| 16 |
Alaves
|
31 | 11 | 2 | 18 | -17 | 35 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 |
La Coruna
|
31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | -34 | 23 |
| 19 |
Las Palmas
|
31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -41 | 21 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | -29 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Mojica
M
Pablo Maffeo
M
Portu
F
Pere Pons
M
C. Stuani
F
Coach: Pablo Machín
A. Mandi
D
Bartra
D
J. Firpo
M
Fabián Ruiz
M
Loren Morón
F
Coach: Quique Setién
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sociedad
Girona
Girona
Levante
Real Madrid
Girona
Girona
La Coruna
Villarreal
Girona
Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.