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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez

Leganes

U S U T T

1–3

Full-time

Real Madrid

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

5,5

Scored

1,2

3,8

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+2,2

This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 46%

35%

57%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

39%

74%

Both score Ø 42%

26%

57%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

0,9

2,4

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

39% Possession 61%

7 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leganes 13. · Real Madrid 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	24	19	5	0	+51	62
2	Ath Madrid	24	16	7	1	+27	55
3	Valencia	24	14	4	6	+19	46
4	Real Madrid	23	13	6	4	+29	45
5	Sevilla	24	12	3	9	-4	39
6	Villarreal	24	11	5	8	+6	38
7	Eibar	24	10	5	9	-4	35
8	Girona	24	9	7	8	+4	34
9	Getafe	24	8	9	7	+8	33
10	Betis	24	10	3	11	-9	33
11	Celta	24	9	5	10	+4	32
12	Sociedad	24	8	5	11	+1	29
13	Leganes	23	8	5	10	-5	29
14	Ath Bilbao	24	6	10	8	-3	28
15	Alaves	24	9	1	14	-11	28
16	Espanol	24	6	9	9	-10	27
17	Levante	24	3	11	10	-17	20
18	Las Palmas	24	5	3	16	-34	18
19	La Coruna	24	4	5	15	-29	17
20	Malaga	24	3	4	17	-23	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	9	2	0	+26	29
2	Ath Madrid	12	8	4	0	+13	28
3	Valencia	12	8	2	2	+14	26
4	Getafe	13	7	3	3	+12	24
5	Sevilla	11	7	3	1	+9	24
6	Real Madrid	12	7	2	3	+18	23
7	Eibar	13	6	3	4	+8	21
8	Villarreal	11	6	2	3	+10	20
9	Girona	12	6	2	4	+8	20
10	Betis	13	6	2	5	-3	20
11	Espanol	13	5	4	4	+0	19
12	Alaves	13	6	1	6	-3	19
13	Sociedad	13	5	3	5	+7	18
14	Leganes	10	5	2	3	+1	17
15	Celta	11	4	4	3	+2	16
16	Ath Bilbao	11	3	6	2	+2	15
17	Las Palmas	12	4	1	7	-11	13
18	Levante	12	2	5	5	-6	11
19	La Coruna	12	3	2	7	-8	11
20	Malaga	12	2	3	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	10	3	0	+25	33
2	Ath Madrid	12	8	3	1	+14	27
3	Real Madrid	11	6	4	1	+11	22
4	Valencia	12	6	2	4	+5	20
5	Villarreal	13	5	3	5	-4	18
6	Celta	13	5	1	7	+2	16
7	Sevilla	13	5	0	8	-13	15
8	Girona	12	3	5	4	-4	14
9	Eibar	11	4	2	5	-12	14
10	Ath Bilbao	13	3	4	6	-5	13
11	Betis	11	4	1	6	-6	13
12	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-6	12
13	Sociedad	11	3	2	6	-6	11
14	Getafe	11	1	6	4	-4	9
15	Alaves	11	3	0	8	-8	9
16	Levante	12	1	6	5	-11	9
17	Espanol	11	1	5	5	-10	8
18	La Coruna	12	1	3	8	-21	6
19	Las Palmas	12	1	2	9	-23	5
20	Malaga	12	1	1	10	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.