La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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La Coruna
Betis
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 | +49 | 59 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | +25 | 52 |
| 3 |
Valencia
|
23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | +18 | 43 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +27 | 42 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | +6 | 37 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | -5 | 36 |
| 7 |
Eibar
|
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 |
Celta
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +7 | 32 |
| 9 |
Girona
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | +1 | 31 |
| 10 |
Getafe
|
23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | +5 | 30 |
| 11 |
Betis
|
22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | -8 | 30 |
| 12 |
Leganes
|
22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 13 |
Ath Bilbao
|
23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | -1 | 28 |
| 14 |
Sociedad
|
23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 26 |
| 15 |
Espanol
|
23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 |
Alaves
|
23 | 8 | 1 | 14 | -12 | 25 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | -14 | 20 |
| 18 |
Las Palmas
|
23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -33 | 18 |
| 19 |
La Coruna
|
22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -27 | 17 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -22 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
F. Valverde
M
Coach: C. Seedorf
A. Mandi
D
Bartra
D
J. Firpo
M
Fabián Ruiz
M
Loren Morón
F
Coach: Quique Setién
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sociedad
La Coruna
La Coruna
Levante
Real Madrid
La Coruna
La Coruna
Valencia
Villarreal
La Coruna
Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.